Primera División · Clausura - 12
Cerro Largo vs Boston River
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo
Cerro Largo host Boston River on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Cerro Largo 34%, draw 29%, Boston River 37%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cerro Largo €268K, Boston River €323K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Cerro Largo goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Cerro Largo 1414 · Boston River 1514
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Boston River · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1567
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cerro Largo
14th in Primera División - Apertura · 34 pts from 33
- 16 OctDCerro Uruguay Primera Division1370
- 11 OctLAlbion FC Uruguay Primera Division1373
- 4 OctLDanubio Uruguay Primera Division1413
- 26 SepLClub Nacional Uruguay Primera Division1430
- 19 SepLDeportivo Maldonado Uruguay Primera Division1390
Boston River
11th in Primera División - Apertura · 37 pts from 33
- 17 OctWDefensor Sporting Uruguay Primera Division1511
- 10 OctWWanderers Uruguay Primera Division1480
- 4 OctDJuventud Uruguay Primera Division1473
- 26 SepLPenarol Uruguay Primera Division1478
- 19 SepLProgreso Uruguay Primera Division1468
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro Largo | 83 /70 | 84.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9th |
| Boston River | 92 /70 | 93.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –