Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 8
Cercle Brugge 1–2 Anderlecht
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Jan Breydel Stadium, Bruges
Cercle BruggeTeam 1692
AnderlechtTeam 1914Match story
Cercle Brugge · draw · AnderlechtBefore kick-off: 24% · 27% · 49%
Last reading, 90+6': 0% · 1% · 99%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- A. Manneh 11'
- T. Bentayeb 86'
- A. Bertaccini 90+3'
We gave Anderlecht 49% to win: they did.
- S. Ngoura 1719 −10*4'
Cercle Brugge:S. Ngoura 1719 −10* - A. Manneh 1795 −17* assist L. Le Roux 1477 −8*11'
Cercle Brugge:A. Manneh 1795 −17* assist L. Le Roux 1477 −8* - 46'M. Cvetkovic 1883 +16 for D. Sikan 2087 +3
Anderlecht:M. Cvetkovic 1883 +16 for D. Sikan 2087 +3 - 46'O. Antman 1896 +8* for L. Ambros 1979 +5
Anderlecht:O. Antman 1896 +8* for L. Ambros 1979 +5 - D. Vanzeir 1766 −12* for A. Manneh 1795 −17*59'
Cercle Brugge:D. Vanzeir 1766 −12* for A. Manneh 1795 −17* - V. Martens 1492 −8* for C. Herrmann 1663 −8*59'
Cercle Brugge:V. Martens 1492 −8* for C. Herrmann 1663 −8* - 59'M. Stroeykens 1910 −4* for M. Kana 2031 −3*
Anderlecht:M. Stroeykens 1910 −4* for M. Kana 2031 −3* - 66'A. Bertaccini 1887 +1* for L. Augustinsson 1966 −5*
Anderlecht:A. Bertaccini 1887 +1* for L. Augustinsson 1966 −5* - L. Mondele 1459 −8* for H. van der Bruggen 1730 −19*71'
Cercle Brugge:L. Mondele 1459 −8* for H. van der Bruggen 1730 −19* - A. K. Ouattara 1493 −8* for T. Akinsola 1702 −11*71'
Cercle Brugge:A. K. Ouattara 1493 −8* for T. Akinsola 1702 −11* - 78'T. Aasgaard 1917 +2 for I. Koutsoupias 1974 +14*
Anderlecht:T. Aasgaard 1917 +2 for I. Koutsoupias 1974 +14* - K. Kouassi 1246 −8* for S. Ngoura 1719 −10*80'
Cercle Brugge:K. Kouassi 1246 −8* for S. Ngoura 1719 −10* - 86'T. Bentayeb 1883 +26* assist L. Petrot 2032 +11*
Anderlecht:T. Bentayeb 1883 +26* assist L. Petrot 2032 +11* - 89'K. Barry 1607 +55*
Anderlecht:K. Barry 1607 +55* - 90+1'O. Antman 1896 +8*
Anderlecht:O. Antman 1896 +8* - 90+3'A. Bertaccini 1887 +1* assist O. Antman 1896 +8*
Anderlecht:A. Bertaccini 1887 +1* assist O. Antman 1896 +8*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 24% · 27% · 49%(Cercle Brugge · draw · Anderlecht)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–2 had 10%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Cercle Brugge €1.2M, Anderlecht €2.6M.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cercle Brugge
17th in Pro League · 3 pts from 7
- 19 SepLCharleroi Belgium Pro League1668
- 12 SepDOH Leuven Belgium Pro League1703
- 6 SepLGent Belgium Pro League1649
- 29 AugLLommel United Belgium Pro League1714
- 23 AugLClub Brugge KV Belgium Pro League1722
Anderlecht
5th in Pro League · 13 pts from 7
- 19 SepWZulte Waregem Belgium Pro League1979
- 16 SepLLyon UEFA Europa League1964
- 11 SepWKV Mechelen Belgium Pro League1950
- 6 SepDGenk Belgium Pro League1923
- 3 SepWKortrijk Belgium Pro League1945
Season outlook
From the Jupiler Pro League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cercle Brugge | 3 /7 | 31.7 | 0% | 0% | 52% | 18th |
| Anderlecht | 13 /7 | 59.0 | 1% | 58% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Cercle Brugge · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1778

Anderlecht · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 2015
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cercle Brugge: direct · high-pressing (how Lars Friis plays) · Anderlecht: balanced profile (how Vítor Bruno Clara Santos Mota Fernandes plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.