Premiership · Regular Season - 14
Celtic vs ST Mirren
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Celtic Park, Glasgow
Celtic host ST Mirren on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Premiership); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Celtic 83%, draw 11%, ST Mirren 5%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Celtic €3.6M, ST Mirren €306K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Premiership matchday 14: 536 points.
- Draw chance 11%, below the Premiership average of 25% this round.
- Premiership: L. Scales is the highest-rated defender (2238).
- Style contrast in discipline (Premiership): Celtic rank #1 of 12, ST Mirren #11.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Celtic goals first.
- 2–013%
- 3–012%
- 1–09%
- 4–09%
- 2–18%
- 3–18%
- Other scores41%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com3–0expected 1.3 pts
Team Elo: Celtic 2075 · ST Mirren 1539
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Celtic · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2238
ST Mirren · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1672
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Celtic
1st in Premiership · 31 pts from 13
- 8 NovWKilmarnock Scotland Premiership2137
- 5 NovWBeşiktaş UEFA Europa League2052
- 1 NovLFalkirk Scotland Premiership2011
- 28 OctDDundee Utd Scotland Premiership2056
- 25 OctWHibernian Scotland Premiership2031
ST Mirren
8th in Premiership · 14 pts from 13
- 7 NovLRangers Scotland Premiership1473
- 31 OctLMotherwell Scotland Premiership1542
- 28 OctDHibernian Scotland Premiership1556
- 24 OctWDundee Scotland Premiership1548
- 17 OctLAberdeen Scotland Premiership1561
Season outlook
From the Premiership simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 31 /13 | 73.8 | 77% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| ST Mirren | 14 /13 | 32.8 | 0% | 1% | 75% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: low-block · low-volume
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Celtic: possession-based · creative (how M. O'Neill plays) · ST Mirren: direct (how Craig McLeish plays)