Premiership · Regular Season - 13
Celtic vs Kilmarnock
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Celtic Park, Glasgow
Celtic host Kilmarnock on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Premiership); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Celtic 78%, draw 14%, Kilmarnock 7%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Celtic €3.6M, Kilmarnock €385K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Premiership matchday 13: 455 points.
- Draw chance 14%, below the Premiership average of 25% this round.
- Premiership: V. Sinisalo is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2160).
- Style contrast in discipline (Premiership): Celtic rank #1 of 12, Kilmarnock #12.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Celtic goals first.
- 2–010%
- 3–010%
- 2–19%
- 3–18%
- 4–07%
- 1–16%
- Other scores50%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com3–1expected 1.2 pts
Team Elo: Celtic 2079 · Kilmarnock 1624
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Celtic · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 2104
Kilmarnock · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1668
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Celtic
1st in Premiership · 24 pts from 9
- 22 OctLCelta Vigo UEFA Europa League2025
- 18 OctWHeart Of Midlothian Scotland Premiership2005
- 15 OctLBenfica UEFA Europa League2055
- 11 OctWMotherwell Scotland Premiership2070
- 20 SepLRangers Scotland Premiership2106
Kilmarnock
11th in Premiership · 8 pts from 9
- 17 OctWMotherwell Scotland Premiership1618
- 10 OctLRangers Scotland Premiership1627
- 19 SepDHeart Of Midlothian Scotland Premiership1618
- 15 SepWHibernian Scotland Premiership1609
- 5 SepDAberdeen Scotland Premiership1574
Season outlook
From the Premiership simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 24 /9 | 76.4 | 87% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Kilmarnock | 8 /9 | 35.1 | 0% | 3% | 57% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Celtic: possession-based · creative (how M. O'Neill plays) · Kilmarnock: direct (how Neill McCann plays)