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Premiership · Regular Season - 9

Celtic 7–1 Heart Of Midlothian

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Celtic Park, Glasgow

Celtic crestCelticTeam 2015
7–1
Full time
HT 5–1
Heart Of Midlothian crestHeart Of MidlothianTeam 1741

Match story

Celtic · draw · Heart Of Midlothian

Before kick-off: 66% · 20% · 14%

Live chances: Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0% at 90+2'2' · 0–0 · Celtic 66%, draw 20%, Heart Of Midlothian 14%3' · 0–0 · Celtic 66%, draw 20%, Heart Of Midlothian 14%4' · 0–0 · Celtic 66%, draw 20%, Heart Of Midlothian 14%5' · 0–0 · Celtic 66%, draw 20%, Heart Of Midlothian 14%6' · 0–0 · Celtic 66%, draw 21%, Heart Of Midlothian 14%7' · 1–0 · Celtic 84%, draw 11%, Heart Of Midlothian 5%8' · 1–0 · Celtic 84%, draw 11%, Heart Of Midlothian 5%9' · 1–0 · Celtic 84%, draw 11%, Heart Of Midlothian 5%10' · 1–0 · Celtic 84%, draw 11%, Heart Of Midlothian 5%11' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%12' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%13' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%14' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%15' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%16' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%17' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%18' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%19' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%20' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%21' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%22' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%23' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%24' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%25' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%26' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%27' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%28' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%29' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%30' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%31' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%32' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%33' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%34' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%35' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%36' · 2–0 · Celtic 96%, draw 3%, Heart Of Midlothian 1%37' · 3–0 · Celtic 99%, draw 1%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%38' · 3–0 · Celtic 99%, draw 1%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%39' · 4–0 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%40' · 4–0 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%41' · 4–0 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%42' · 4–1 · Celtic 99%, draw 1%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%43' · 4–1 · Celtic 99%, draw 1%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%44' · 4–1 · Celtic 99%, draw 1%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%45' · 4–1 · Celtic 99%, draw 1%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%45+1' · 4–1 · Celtic 99%, draw 1%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%45+2' · 5–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%45+3' · 5–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%HT · 5–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%47' · 5–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%48' · 5–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%49' · 5–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%50' · 5–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%51' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%52' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%53' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%54' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%55' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%56' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%57' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%58' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%59' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%60' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%61' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%62' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%63' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%64' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%65' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%66' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%67' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%68' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%69' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%70' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%71' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%72' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%73' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%74' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%75' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%76' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%77' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%79' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%80' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%82' · 6–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%83' · 7–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%84' · 7–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%85' · 7–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%86' · 7–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%87' · 7–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%88' · 7–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%89' · 7–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%90' · 7–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%90+1' · 7–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%90+2' · 7–1 · Celtic 100%, draw 0%, Heart Of Midlothian 0%

Last reading, 90+2': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Celtic 66% to win: they did.

  1. 7'Celtic:Kieran Tierney 2172 +22 assist Liam Scales 2252 +27
  2. 10'Celtic:Benjamin Nygren 2321 +20 assist Dane Murray 1844 +79
  3. 34'Heart Of Midlothian:Calvin Miller 1831 −3
  4. 36'Celtic:Callum Osmand 1424 +68 assist Camilo Duran 1992 +38
  5. 38'Celtic:Callum Osmand 1424 +68 assist Camilo Duran 1992 +38
  6. 41'Heart Of Midlothian:Laurent mendy 1594 0 assist Josh Mcpake 1873 −3
  7. 45'Celtic:Jota 2012 +9 for Callum Osmand 1424 +68
  8. 45'Heart Of Midlothian:Tomas Bent Magnusson 1682 −8* for Oisin McEntee 1962 −6
  9. 45+1'Celtic:Jamie McCart 1864 −6 (own goal)
  10. 49'Celtic:Jota 2012 +9
  11. 49'Celtic:Camilo Duran 1992 +38 assist Kieran Tierney 2172 +22
  12. 51'Celtic:Mika Baur 2104 +16
  13. 52'Celtic:Colby Donovan 2095 +16
  14. 54'Heart Of Midlothian:Rogers Mato 1634 0 for Calvin Miller 1831 −3
  15. 54'Heart Of Midlothian:Sabah Kerjota 1642 0 for Josh Mcpake 1873 −3
  16. 60'Celtic:Kasper Hogh 2155 +5 for Camilo Duran 1992 +38
  17. 60'Celtic:Landon Emenalo 1862 +1* for Kieran Tierney 2172 +22
  18. 60'Celtic:Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain 1862 +4 for Callum McGregor 2141 +4
  19. 70'Celtic:James Forrest 1528 −6* for Haissem Hassan 1931 +18
  20. 71'Heart Of Midlothian:Amadou Ba-Sy 1039 −8* for Claudio Rafael Soares Braga 1929 −8
  21. 83'Celtic:Benjamin Nygren 2321 +20 assist Kasper Hogh 2155 +5
  22. 84'Heart Of Midlothian:James wilson 1708 0 for Severin Sabri Guendouz 1676 0

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-4-1-1
GV. Sinisalo2160+39
DD. Murray1844+79
DL. Scales2252+27
DK. Tierney2172+22
MM. Baur2104+16
MH. Hassan1931+18
MB. Nygren2321+20
MC. Durán1992+38
FC. Osmand1424+68
CM. O'Neill2104+30
GB. Reus1905−8
DJ. Altena1876−6
DJ. McCart1864−6
DS. Kingsley1836−7
MC. Miller1831−3
ML. Mendy15940
MO. McEntee1962−6
MJ. McPake1873−3
CW. Vrancken1950−21
Before kick-off: 66% · 20% · 14%(Celtic · draw · Heart Of Midlothian)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (10%); the result 7–1 had <1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Celtic €3.2M, Heart Of Midlothian €852K.
  • Draw chance was 19%, below the Premiership average of 25% this round.
  • Premiership: V. Sinisalo was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2121).
  • Style contrast in pressing & duels (Premiership): Celtic ranked #12 of 12, Heart Of Midlothian #2.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Celtic

1st in Premiership · 21 pts from 8

  • 15 OctLBenfica 2055
  • 11 OctWMotherwell 2070
  • 20 SepLRangers 2106
  • 17 SepLFerencvarosi TC 2024
  • 9 SepWST Johnstone 2027

Heart Of Midlothian

3rd in Premiership · 16 pts from 8

  • 15 OctDFC Nordsjaelland 1771
  • 10 OctWST Mirren 1736
  • 19 SepDKilmarnock 1788
  • 15 SepLFalkirk 1819
  • 6 SepWDundee 1814

Season outlook

From the Premiership simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Celtic21 /876.085%100%0%1st
Heart Of Midlothian16 /850.7<1%73%1%3rd
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premiership

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

M. Baur
M. Baur

Celtic · +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 2088

J. McPake
J. McPake

Heart Of Midlothian · +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1876

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Martin Hugh Michael O'Neill

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Wouter Vrancken

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Celtic: possession-based · creative (how Martin Hugh Michael O'Neill plays) · Heart Of Midlothian: balanced profile (how Wouter Vrancken plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.