Premiership · Regular Season - 9
Celtic 7–1 Heart Of Midlothian
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Celtic Park, Glasgow
CelticTeam 2015
Heart Of MidlothianTeam 1741Match story
Celtic · draw · Heart Of MidlothianBefore kick-off: 66% · 20% · 14%
Last reading, 90+2': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Kieran Tierney 7'
- Benjamin Nygren 10', 83'
- Callum Osmand 36', 38'
- Jamie McCart 45+1' (og)
- Camilo Duran 49'
- Laurent mendy 41'
We gave Celtic 66% to win: they did.
- Kieran Tierney 2172 +22 assist Liam Scales 2252 +277'
Celtic:Kieran Tierney 2172 +22 assist Liam Scales 2252 +27 - Benjamin Nygren 2321 +20 assist Dane Murray 1844 +7910'
Celtic:Benjamin Nygren 2321 +20 assist Dane Murray 1844 +79 - 34'Calvin Miller 1831 −3
Heart Of Midlothian:Calvin Miller 1831 −3 - Callum Osmand 1424 +68 assist Camilo Duran 1992 +3836'
Celtic:Callum Osmand 1424 +68 assist Camilo Duran 1992 +38 - Callum Osmand 1424 +68 assist Camilo Duran 1992 +3838'
Celtic:Callum Osmand 1424 +68 assist Camilo Duran 1992 +38 - 41'Laurent mendy 1594 0 assist Josh Mcpake 1873 −3
Heart Of Midlothian:Laurent mendy 1594 0 assist Josh Mcpake 1873 −3 - Jota 2012 +9 for Callum Osmand 1424 +6845'
Celtic:Jota 2012 +9 for Callum Osmand 1424 +68 - 45'Tomas Bent Magnusson 1682 −8* for Oisin McEntee 1962 −6
Heart Of Midlothian:Tomas Bent Magnusson 1682 −8* for Oisin McEntee 1962 −6 - Jamie McCart 1864 −6 (own goal)45+1'
Celtic:Jamie McCart 1864 −6 (own goal) - Jota 2012 +949'
Celtic:Jota 2012 +9 - Camilo Duran 1992 +38 assist Kieran Tierney 2172 +2249'
Celtic:Camilo Duran 1992 +38 assist Kieran Tierney 2172 +22 - Mika Baur 2104 +1651'
Celtic:Mika Baur 2104 +16 - Colby Donovan 2095 +1652'
Celtic:Colby Donovan 2095 +16 - 54'Rogers Mato 1634 0 for Calvin Miller 1831 −3
Heart Of Midlothian:Rogers Mato 1634 0 for Calvin Miller 1831 −3 - 54'Sabah Kerjota 1642 0 for Josh Mcpake 1873 −3
Heart Of Midlothian:Sabah Kerjota 1642 0 for Josh Mcpake 1873 −3 - Kasper Hogh 2155 +5 for Camilo Duran 1992 +3860'
Celtic:Kasper Hogh 2155 +5 for Camilo Duran 1992 +38 - Landon Emenalo 1862 +1* for Kieran Tierney 2172 +2260'
Celtic:Landon Emenalo 1862 +1* for Kieran Tierney 2172 +22 - Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain 1862 +4 for Callum McGregor 2141 +460'
Celtic:Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain 1862 +4 for Callum McGregor 2141 +4 - James Forrest 1528 −6* for Haissem Hassan 1931 +1870'
Celtic:James Forrest 1528 −6* for Haissem Hassan 1931 +18 - 71'Amadou Ba-Sy 1039 −8* for Claudio Rafael Soares Braga 1929 −8
Heart Of Midlothian:Amadou Ba-Sy 1039 −8* for Claudio Rafael Soares Braga 1929 −8 - Benjamin Nygren 2321 +20 assist Kasper Hogh 2155 +583'
Celtic:Benjamin Nygren 2321 +20 assist Kasper Hogh 2155 +5 - 84'James wilson 1708 0 for Severin Sabri Guendouz 1676 0
Heart Of Midlothian:James wilson 1708 0 for Severin Sabri Guendouz 1676 0
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 66% · 20% · 14%(Celtic · draw · Heart Of Midlothian)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (10%); the result 7–1 had <1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Celtic €3.2M, Heart Of Midlothian €852K.
- Draw chance was 19%, below the Premiership average of 25% this round.
- Premiership: V. Sinisalo was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2121).
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Premiership): Celtic ranked #12 of 12, Heart Of Midlothian #2.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Celtic
1st in Premiership · 21 pts from 8
- 15 OctLBenfica UEFA Europa League2055
- 11 OctWMotherwell Scotland Premiership2070
- 20 SepLRangers Scotland Premiership2106
- 17 SepLFerencvarosi TC UEFA Europa League2024
- 9 SepWST Johnstone Scotland Premiership2027
Heart Of Midlothian
3rd in Premiership · 16 pts from 8
- 15 OctDFC Nordsjaelland UEFA Conference League1771
- 10 OctWST Mirren Scotland Premiership1736
- 19 SepDKilmarnock Scotland Premiership1788
- 15 SepLFalkirk Scotland Premiership1819
- 6 SepWDundee Scotland Premiership1814
Season outlook
From the Premiership simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 21 /8 | 76.0 | 85% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Heart Of Midlothian | 16 /8 | 50.7 | <1% | 73% | 1% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Celtic · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 2088

Heart Of Midlothian · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1876
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Celtic: possession-based · creative (how Martin Hugh Michael O'Neill plays) · Heart Of Midlothian: balanced profile (how Wouter Vrancken plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.