La Liga · Regular Season - 12
Celta Vigo vs Levante
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Celta Vigo host Levante on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (La Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Celta Vigo 56%, draw 25%, Levante 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Celta Vigo €8.0M, Levante €4.1M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Celta Vigo goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.2 pts
Team Elo: Celta Vigo 2085 · Levante 1958
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Celta Vigo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 2079

Levante · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 2077
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Celta Vigo
8th in La Liga · 11 pts from 9
- 22 OctWCeltic UEFA Europa League2029
- 18 OctWAlaves La Liga2071
- 15 OctLJuventus UEFA Europa League2105
- 11 OctDElche La Liga2089
- 19 SepWRacing Santander La Liga2031
Levante
11th in La Liga · 10 pts from 9
- 21 OctWAthletic Club La Liga1936
- 16 OctDDeportivo La Coruna La Liga1891
- 12 OctDSevilla La Liga1895
- 20 SepLVillarreal La Liga2002
- 13 SepLBarcelona La Liga1989
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 11 /9 | 48.3 | 0% | <1% | 2% | 9th |
| Levante | 10 /9 | 42.4 | 0% | 0% | 12% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Celta Vigo: balanced profile (how Claudio Giráldez plays) · Levante: balanced profile (how Luís Castro plays)