Segunda División · Regular Season - 15
Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Municipal de Barreiro, Vigo
Celta de Vigo II host Valladolid on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Celta de Vigo II 37%, draw 29%, Valladolid 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Celta de Vigo II €328K, Valladolid €967K.
- Home advantage makes Celta de Vigo II the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Segunda División): Celta de Vigo II rank #24 of 26, Valladolid #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Celta de Vigo II goals first.
- 1–114%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 0–17%
- 0–07%
- Other scores48%
Team Elo: Celta de Vigo II 1656 · Valladolid 1751
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Celta de Vigo II · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Average) · Elo 1635
Valladolid · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Good) · Elo 1842
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Celta de Vigo II
16th in Segunda División · 13 pts from 13
- 7 NovLBurgos Spain Segunda Division1585
- 31 OctDCordoba Spain Segunda Division1595
- 24 OctLGirona Spain Segunda Division1626
- 19 OctDTenerife Spain Segunda Division1620
- 10 OctWReal Sociedad II Spain Segunda Division1565
Valladolid
12th in Segunda División · 18 pts from 13
- 8 NovWSporting Gijon Spain Segunda Division1723
- 2 NovWLeganes Spain Segunda Division1706
- 23 OctLGranada CF Spain Segunda Division1721
- 18 OctLEldense Spain Segunda Division1714
- 12 OctWAlbacete Spain Segunda Division1698
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo II | 13 /13 | 45.6 | 0% | 0% | 29% | 20th |
| Valladolid | 18 /13 | 57.1 | <1% | 2% | 2% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Celta de Vigo II: low-block · low-volume (how Fredi plays) · Valladolid: balanced profile (how Fran Escriba plays)