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Segunda División · Regular Season - 9

Celta de Vigo II 4–1 Real Sociedad II

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo

Celta de Vigo II crestCelta de Vigo IITeam 1556
4–1
Full time
HT 3–0
Real Sociedad II crestReal Sociedad IITeam 1568

Match story

Celta de Vigo II · draw · Real Sociedad II

Before kick-off: 43% · 29% · 28%

Live chances: Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Celta de Vigo II 43%, draw 29%, Real Sociedad II 28%2' · 0–0 · Celta de Vigo II 43%, draw 29%, Real Sociedad II 28%3' · 0–0 · Celta de Vigo II 43%, draw 30%, Real Sociedad II 28%4' · 0–0 · Celta de Vigo II 43%, draw 30%, Real Sociedad II 28%5' · 0–0 · Celta de Vigo II 43%, draw 30%, Real Sociedad II 27%6' · 0–0 · Celta de Vigo II 43%, draw 30%, Real Sociedad II 27%8' · 0–0 · Celta de Vigo II 42%, draw 30%, Real Sociedad II 27%9' · 0–0 · Celta de Vigo II 42%, draw 31%, Real Sociedad II 27%10' · 0–0 · Celta de Vigo II 42%, draw 31%, Real Sociedad II 27%11' · 0–0 · Celta de Vigo II 42%, draw 31%, Real Sociedad II 27%12' · 1–0 · Celta de Vigo II 71%, draw 19%, Real Sociedad II 9%13' · 1–0 · Celta de Vigo II 71%, draw 19%, Real Sociedad II 9%15' · 1–0 · Celta de Vigo II 71%, draw 19%, Real Sociedad II 9%16' · 1–0 · Celta de Vigo II 71%, draw 19%, Real Sociedad II 9%17' · 1–0 · Celta de Vigo II 71%, draw 19%, Real Sociedad II 9%18' · 1–0 · Celta de Vigo II 71%, draw 19%, Real Sociedad II 9%19' · 1–0 · Celta de Vigo II 72%, draw 20%, Real Sociedad II 9%20' · 1–0 · Celta de Vigo II 72%, draw 20%, Real Sociedad II 9%21' · 1–0 · Celta de Vigo II 72%, draw 20%, Real Sociedad II 9%22' · 1–0 · Celta de Vigo II 72%, draw 20%, Real Sociedad II 9%23' · 1–0 · Celta de Vigo II 72%, draw 20%, Real Sociedad II 9%24' · 1–0 · Celta de Vigo II 72%, draw 20%, Real Sociedad II 9%25' · 1–0 · Celta de Vigo II 72%, draw 20%, Real Sociedad II 8%26' · 1–0 · Celta de Vigo II 72%, draw 20%, Real Sociedad II 8%27' · 1–0 · Celta de Vigo II 72%, draw 20%, Real Sociedad II 8%28' · 1–0 · Celta de Vigo II 72%, draw 20%, Real Sociedad II 8%29' · 1–0 · Celta de Vigo II 72%, draw 20%, Real Sociedad II 8%30' · 1–0 · Celta de Vigo II 72%, draw 20%, Real Sociedad II 8%31' · 1–0 · Celta de Vigo II 72%, draw 20%, Real Sociedad II 8%32' · 1–0 · Celta de Vigo II 72%, draw 20%, Real Sociedad II 8%33' · 2–0 · Celta de Vigo II 93%, draw 6%, Real Sociedad II 1%34' · 2–0 · Celta de Vigo II 93%, draw 6%, Real Sociedad II 1%35' · 2–0 · Celta de Vigo II 93%, draw 5%, Real Sociedad II 1%36' · 2–0 · Celta de Vigo II 93%, draw 5%, Real Sociedad II 1%38' · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 99%, draw 1%, Real Sociedad II 0%39' · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 99%, draw 1%, Real Sociedad II 0%41' · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 99%, draw 1%, Real Sociedad II 0%42' · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 99%, draw 1%, Real Sociedad II 0%43' · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 99%, draw 1%, Real Sociedad II 0%44' · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 99%, draw 1%, Real Sociedad II 0%45' · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 99%, draw 1%, Real Sociedad II 0%45+1' · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 99%, draw 1%, Real Sociedad II 0%45+2' · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 99%, draw 1%, Real Sociedad II 0%45+3' · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 99%, draw 1%, Real Sociedad II 0%HT · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 99%, draw 1%, Real Sociedad II 0%47' · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 99%, draw 1%, Real Sociedad II 0%48' · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 99%, draw 1%, Real Sociedad II 0%49' · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 99%, draw 1%, Real Sociedad II 0%50' · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 99%, draw 1%, Real Sociedad II 0%51' · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 99%, draw 1%, Real Sociedad II 0%52' · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 99%, draw 1%, Real Sociedad II 0%53' · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 99%, draw 1%, Real Sociedad II 0%54' · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 99%, draw 1%, Real Sociedad II 0%55' · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 99%, draw 1%, Real Sociedad II 0%56' · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 99%, draw 1%, Real Sociedad II 0%57' · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 99%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%58' · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 99%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%59' · 3–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%60' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%61' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%62' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%63' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%64' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%65' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%66' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%67' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%68' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%69' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%70' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%71' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%72' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%73' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%74' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%75' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%76' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%77' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%78' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%79' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%80' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%81' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%82' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%83' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%84' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%85' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%86' · 4–0 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%87' · 4–1 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%88' · 4–1 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%89' · 4–1 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%90' · 4–1 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%90+1' · 4–1 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%90+2' · 4–1 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%90+3' · 4–1 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%90+4' · 4–1 · Celta de Vigo II 100%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad II 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Celta de Vigo II 43% to win: they did.

  1. 9'Celta de Vigo II:Alexis Olmedo Vila 2046 −2*
  2. 12'Celta de Vigo II:Ángel Arcos 1546 +94
  3. 15'Celta de Vigo II:Óscar Marcos 1830 +56
  4. 21'Celta de Vigo II:Joel Lopez 1465 +24
  5. 27'Real Sociedad II:Jon Balda 1667 −23
  6. 31'Real Sociedad II:Inaki Ruperez 1745 −19*
  7. 33'Celta de Vigo II:Alvaro·Marin Sesma 1669 +105 (pen.)
  8. 36'Celta de Vigo II:Alvaro·Marin Sesma 1669 +105
  9. 45'Celta de Vigo II:Frank Germain Jonathan Miller 1648 +18 for Joel Lopez 1465 +24
  10. 45'Celta de Vigo II:Seyni Mbaye Ndiaye 1546 +52* for Alexis Olmedo Vila 2046 −2*
  11. 59'Celta de Vigo II:Aldrine Kibet 1618 +117 assist Óscar Marcos 1830 +56
  12. 60'Real Sociedad II:Ibai Aguirre 1647 −1 for Alex Lebarbier 1419 0
  13. 60'Real Sociedad II:Jon Garro 1663 −2 for Inaki Ruperez 1745 −19*
  14. 60'Real Sociedad II:Javier Soroeta 1413 −8* for Sydney Osazuwa 1364 −8*
  15. 67'Celta de Vigo II:Jan Oliveras 1629 +10 for Ángel Arcos 1546 +94
  16. 73'Celta de Vigo II:Hugo Cuenca 1814 −3* for Óscar Marcos 1830 +56
  17. 74'Real Sociedad II:Tomy Carbonell 1672 −8
  18. 74'Real Sociedad II:Andrews Adjabeng 1378 −8* for Dani Diaz 1674 −6
  19. 78'Celta de Vigo II:Angel Davila Outerelo 1485 −2* for Adrià Capdevila 1433 +137
  20. 83'Real Sociedad II:Jon Eceizabarrena 1463 0 for Gorka Gorosabel 1695 −10
  21. 87'Real Sociedad II:Jon Balda 1667 −23 assist Jon Eceizabarrena 1463 0

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-3Formations4-4-2
GCoke Carrillo1628+38
DAlexis Olmedo2046−2*
DK. Ribes1727+93
DJoel López1465+24
MP. Gavian1611+118
MAdrià Capdevila1433+137
MM. Sobral1581+34*
MÁngel Arcos1546+94
FA. Kibet1618+117
FA. Marin1669+105
FO. Marcos1830+56
CFredi1602+78
GAitor Fraga1750−17
DRupérez1745−19*
DI. Calderon13760
DK. Kita1713−21*
DJon Balda1667−23
MLander Astiazarán1699−11
MTomás Carbonell1672−8
MA. Lebarbier14190
MGorka Gorosabel1695−10
FDani Díaz1674−6
FSydney Osazuwa1364−8*
CIon Ansotegi1677−17
Before kick-off: 43% · 29% · 28%(Celta de Vigo II · draw · Real Sociedad II)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 4–1 had 1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Celta de Vigo II €371K, Real Sociedad II €821K.
  • Home advantage made Celta de Vigo II the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.
  • Real Sociedad II's expected eleven was out of form: average -1.8 over 180 days.
  • Only 0 of Real Sociedad II's expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Celta de Vigo II

18th in Segunda División · 8 pts from 8

  • 4 OctLSporting Gijon 1575
  • 26 SepDSabadell 1603
  • 20 SepLAlmeria 1603
  • 14 SepLEibar 1617
  • 5 SepWAD Ceuta FC 1526

Real Sociedad II

16th in Segunda División · 8 pts from 8

  • 4 OctLGranada CF 1659
  • 26 SepLAD Ceuta FC 1654
  • 19 SepLMallorca 1706
  • 12 SepWFC Andorra 1634
  • 5 SepDTenerife 1673

Season outlook

From the Segunda División simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Celta de Vigo II8 /845.00%0%39%21st
Real Sociedad II8 /847.10%<1%27%19th
Celta de Vigo II
Real Sociedad II

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Segunda División

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Joel López
Joel López

Celta de Vigo II · -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1440

Aitor Fraga
Aitor Fraga

Real Sociedad II · -0.5 (Average) · Elo 1767

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Alfredo Álvarez Paredes

Coach DNA: –

Jon Ansotegi Gorostola

Coach DNA: balanced profile

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.