Premijer Liga · Regular Season - 9
Čelik 0–0 FK Sarajevo
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Bilino Polje, Zenica
ČelikTeam 1041FK SarajevoTeam 1527We gave FK Sarajevo 69% to win: it ended in a draw.
- H. Sabanovic –17'Čelik:H. Sabanovic –
- M. Popovic – for N. Smajlovic –46'Čelik:M. Popovic – for N. Smajlovic –
- 58'I. Saric –FK Sarajevo:I. Saric –
- 60'S. Pidro –FK Sarajevo:S. Pidro –
- A. Masic –64'Čelik:A. Masic –
- 67'A. Galesic – for F. Kyeremeh –FK Sarajevo:A. Galesic – for F. Kyeremeh –
- J. Amoah – for A. Mohedano –71'Čelik:J. Amoah – for A. Mohedano –
- 71'A. Beganovic –FK Sarajevo:A. Beganovic –
- D. Vidic – for A. Masic –78'Čelik:D. Vidic – for A. Masic –
- S. Faraj – for A. Hrvanovic –84'Čelik:S. Faraj – for A. Hrvanovic –
- B. Jenjic – for O. Sarkic –84'Čelik:B. Jenjic – for O. Sarkic –
- 90+2'G. Cimirot – for A. Elezi –FK Sarajevo:G. Cimirot – for A. Elezi –
- 90+2'F. Kosi – for I. Saric –FK Sarajevo:F. Kosi – for I. Saric –
- 90+2'B. Barisic – for R. Caraballo –FK Sarajevo:B. Barisic – for R. Caraballo –
Before kick-off (provisional): 12% · 19% · 69%(Čelik · draw · FK Sarajevo)
Our most likely score was 0–2 (11%); the result 0–0 had 5%.
- L. Menalo, João Carlos, G. Cimirot and L. Hujber (FK Sarajevo) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Čelik
7th in Premijer Liga · 8 pts from 8
- 7 MarLSloboda Tuzla Bosnia Premijer Liga1078
- 1 MarDRadnik Bijeljina Bosnia Premijer Liga1034
- 23 FebLZrinjski Bosnia Premijer Liga1054
- 7 DecLMladost Doboj Kakanj Bosnia Premijer Liga1046
- 1 DecLBorac Banja Luka Bosnia Premijer Liga1054
FK Sarajevo
3rd in Premijer Liga · 13 pts from 8
- 29 AugLZrinjski Bosnia Premijer Liga1507
- 16 JulLInter Turku UEFA Conference League1561
- 9 JulDInter Turku UEFA Conference League1591
- 3 MayLBorac Banja Luka Bosnia Premijer Liga1526
- 11 AprWZrinjski Bosnia Premijer Liga1576
Season outlook
From the Premijer Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Čelik | 8 /8 | 25.8 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 10th |
| FK Sarajevo | 13 /8 | 62.0 | 5% | 96% | <1% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FK Sarajevo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1556
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: direct