Serie B · Regular Season - 35
Ceara vs Goias
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC
Ceara host Goias on Tue 27 Oct 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Ceara 48%, draw 27%, Goias 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ceara €548K, Goias €393K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Ceara goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Ceara 1672 · Goias 1656
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ceara · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1537
Goias · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1722
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ceara
15th in Serie B · 43 pts from 34
- 17 OctDJuventude Brazil Serie B1681
- 13 OctLBotafogo SP Brazil Serie B1704
- 8 OctWCriciuma Brazil Serie B1650
- 3 OctWAvai Brazil Serie B1629
- 26 SepDOperario-PR Brazil Serie B1662
Goias
9th in Serie B · 48 pts from 33
- 11 OctWOperario-PR Brazil Serie B1634
- 6 OctWAthletic Club Brazil Serie B1633
- 2 OctLNovorizontino Brazil Serie B1605
- 26 SepLAtletico Goianiense Brazil Serie B1648
- 20 SepWAvai Brazil Serie B1634
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara | 43 /34 | 48.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15th |
| Goias | 48 /33 | 55.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Ceara: direct (how Daniel Pollo Barioni plays) · Goias: balanced profile (how Mozart Santos Batista Júnior plays)