Serie B · Regular Season - 37
Ceara vs America Mineiro
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 22:15 UTC
Ceara host America Mineiro on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Ceara 62%, draw 22%, America Mineiro 15%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ceara €517K, America Mineiro €242K.
- Style contrast in possession (Serie B): Ceara rank #21 of 23, America Mineiro #2.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Ceara goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Ceara 1676 · America Mineiro 1485
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ceara · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1537
America Mineiro · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1243
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ceara
16th in Serie B · 43 pts from 34
- 17 OctDJuventude Brazil Serie B1681
- 13 OctLBotafogo SP Brazil Serie B1704
- 8 OctWCriciuma Brazil Serie B1650
- 3 OctWAvai Brazil Serie B1629
- 26 SepDOperario-PR Brazil Serie B1662
America Mineiro
19th in Serie B · 20 pts from 34
- 17 OctWOperario-PR Brazil Serie B1481
- 12 OctLCriciuma Brazil Serie B1466
- 7 OctLFortaleza EC Brazil Serie B1442
- 3 OctLAtletico Goianiense Brazil Serie B1422
- 28 SepLJuventude Brazil Serie B1453
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara | 43 /34 | 48.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16th |
| America Mineiro | 20 /34 | 24.4 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 19th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Ceara: direct (how Daniel Paulista plays) · America Mineiro: possession-based (how Moacir Júnior plays)