Canadian Premier League · Group Stage
Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC · ATCO Field
Cavalry FC host Vancouver FC on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Canadian Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Cavalry FC 61%, draw 23%, Vancouver FC 16%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cavalry FC €219K, Vancouver FC €131K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Canadian Premier League): Cavalry FC rank #1 of 7, Vancouver FC #7.
- Vancouver FC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Cavalry FC goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Cavalry FC 1582 · Vancouver FC 1349
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cavalry FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Elite) · Elo 1593
Vancouver FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1314
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cavalry FC
1st in Canadian Premier League · 57 pts from 27
- 17 OctWPacific FC Canada Premier League1570
- 12 OctDHFX Wanderers FC Canada Premier League1616
- 3 OctLYork United Canada Premier League1560
- 30 SepLAtlético Ottawa Canada Premier League1656
- 26 SepWSupra du Quebec Canada Premier League1534
Vancouver FC
4th in Canadian Premier League · 37 pts from 27
- 17 OctWHFX Wanderers FC Canada Premier League1315
- 10 OctDSupra du Quebec Canada Premier League1312
- 26 SepDForge Canada Premier League1289
- 24 SepDYork United Canada Premier League1308
- 20 SepDPacific FC Canada Premier League1297
Season outlook
From the Canadian Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavalry FC | 57 /27 | 59.1 | 75% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Vancouver FC | 37 /27 | 37.7 | 0% | 81% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 8th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cavalry FC: creative (how Tommy Wheeldon Jr. plays) · Vancouver FC: direct (how Martin Nash plays)