Segunda División · Regular Season - 15
Castellón vs Eldense
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Estadio Municipal de Castalia
Castellón host Eldense on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Castellón 66%, draw 20%, Eldense 13%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Castellón €953K, Eldense €432K.
- Draw chance 20%, below the Segunda División average of 27% this round.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Segunda División): Castellón rank #2 of 26, Eldense #25.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Castellón goals first.
- 2–012%
- 1–012%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores41%
Team Elo: Castellón 1873 · Eldense 1610
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Castellón · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1946
Eldense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1706
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Castellón
2nd in Segunda División · 27 pts from 12
- 1 NovDBurgos Spain Segunda Division1911
- 29 OctWConquense Spain Copa del Rey1683
- 25 OctWSporting Gijon Spain Segunda Division1881
- 17 OctWLas Palmas Spain Segunda Division1847
- 11 OctLFC Andorra Spain Segunda Division1873
Eldense
15th in Segunda División · 14 pts from 13
- 9 NovLLas Palmas Spain Segunda Division1526
- 1 NovLGranada CF Spain Segunda Division1586
- 29 OctWAtlético Baleares Spain Copa del Rey1505
- 25 OctLAlbacete Spain Segunda Division1649
- 18 OctWValladolid Spain Segunda Division1609
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellón | 27 /12 | 74.1 | 21% | 69% | 0% | 1st |
| Eldense | 14 /13 | 45.2 | 0% | 0% | 32% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Castellón: dribble-heavy (how Pablo Hernández plays) · Eldense: direct · low-block (how Javi Calleja plays)