Segunda División · Regular Season - 13
Castellón vs Eibar
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC · Estadio Municipal de Castalia
Castellón host Eibar on Fri 6 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Castellón 45%, draw 28%, Eibar 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Castellón €1.0M, Eibar €1.1M.
- Home advantage makes Castellón the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Castellón goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Castellón 1854 · Eibar 1856
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Castellón · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1951
Eibar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1926
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Castellón
2nd in Segunda División · 23 pts from 10
- 17 OctWLas Palmas Spain Segunda Division1853
- 11 OctLFC Andorra Spain Segunda Division1876
- 4 OctDAD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda Division1782
- 28 SepWLeganes Spain Segunda Division1881
- 19 SepWTenerife Spain Segunda Division1868
Eibar
3rd in Segunda División · 22 pts from 10
- 17 OctDMallorca Spain Segunda Division1890
- 12 OctLOviedo Spain Segunda Division1897
- 3 OctWAlbacete Spain Segunda Division1885
- 27 SepWLas Palmas Spain Segunda Division1870
- 19 SepWEldense Spain Segunda Division1843
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellón | 23 /10 | 73.3 | 18% | 60% | 0% | 1st |
| Eibar | 22 /10 | 72.7 | 13% | 56% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Castellón: dribble-heavy (how Pablo Hernández plays) · Eibar: balanced profile (how Jokin Arambarri plays)