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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 8

Casa Pia 0–1 Santa Clara

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 19:30 UTC · Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Mayor

Casa Pia crestCasa PiaTeam 1631
0–1
Full time
HT 0–0
Santa Clara crestSanta ClaraTeam 1699

Match story

Casa Pia · draw · Santa Clara

Before kick-off: 39% · 25% · 37%

Live chances: Casa Pia 0%, draw 0%, Santa Clara 100% at 90+10'1' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 39%, draw 25%, Santa Clara 37%2' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 38%, draw 25%, Santa Clara 37%3' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 38%, draw 25%, Santa Clara 37%4' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 38%, draw 25%, Santa Clara 37%6' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 38%, draw 25%, Santa Clara 37%7' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 38%, draw 25%, Santa Clara 36%9' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 38%, draw 26%, Santa Clara 36%10' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 38%, draw 26%, Santa Clara 36%11' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 38%, draw 26%, Santa Clara 36%12' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 38%, draw 26%, Santa Clara 36%13' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 38%, draw 26%, Santa Clara 36%14' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 38%, draw 26%, Santa Clara 36%15' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 38%, draw 27%, Santa Clara 36%16' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 37%, draw 27%, Santa Clara 36%17' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 37%, draw 27%, Santa Clara 36%18' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 37%, draw 27%, Santa Clara 36%19' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 37%, draw 27%, Santa Clara 36%20' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 37%, draw 27%, Santa Clara 36%21' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 37%, draw 28%, Santa Clara 35%22' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 37%, draw 28%, Santa Clara 35%23' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 37%, draw 28%, Santa Clara 35%24' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 37%, draw 28%, Santa Clara 35%25' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 37%, draw 28%, Santa Clara 35%26' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 36%, draw 29%, Santa Clara 35%27' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 36%, draw 29%, Santa Clara 35%28' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 36%, draw 29%, Santa Clara 35%29' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 36%, draw 29%, Santa Clara 35%30' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 36%, draw 29%, Santa Clara 35%31' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 36%, draw 30%, Santa Clara 34%32' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 36%, draw 30%, Santa Clara 34%33' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 36%, draw 30%, Santa Clara 34%34' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 36%, draw 30%, Santa Clara 34%35' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 35%, draw 31%, Santa Clara 34%36' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 35%, draw 31%, Santa Clara 34%37' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 35%, draw 31%, Santa Clara 34%38' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 35%, draw 31%, Santa Clara 34%39' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 35%, draw 32%, Santa Clara 34%40' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 35%, draw 32%, Santa Clara 33%41' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 34%, draw 32%, Santa Clara 33%42' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 34%, draw 33%, Santa Clara 33%43' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 34%, draw 33%, Santa Clara 33%44' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 34%, draw 33%, Santa Clara 33%45' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 34%, draw 34%, Santa Clara 33%HT · 0–0 · Casa Pia 33%, draw 35%, Santa Clara 32%47' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 33%, draw 35%, Santa Clara 32%48' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 33%, draw 36%, Santa Clara 32%49' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 32%, draw 36%, Santa Clara 31%50' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 32%, draw 37%, Santa Clara 31%51' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 32%, draw 37%, Santa Clara 31%52' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 32%, draw 38%, Santa Clara 31%53' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 31%, draw 38%, Santa Clara 30%54' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 18%, draw 37%, Santa Clara 45%55' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 18%, draw 37%, Santa Clara 45%56' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 18%, draw 38%, Santa Clara 44%57' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 18%, draw 39%, Santa Clara 43%58' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 18%, draw 39%, Santa Clara 43%59' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 18%, draw 40%, Santa Clara 42%60' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 17%, draw 41%, Santa Clara 42%61' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 17%, draw 42%, Santa Clara 41%62' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 17%, draw 42%, Santa Clara 41%63' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 17%, draw 43%, Santa Clara 40%64' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 17%, draw 44%, Santa Clara 39%65' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 17%, draw 45%, Santa Clara 39%66' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 16%, draw 45%, Santa Clara 38%67' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 16%, draw 46%, Santa Clara 37%68' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 16%, draw 47%, Santa Clara 37%69' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 16%, draw 48%, Santa Clara 36%70' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 16%, draw 49%, Santa Clara 35%71' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 15%, draw 50%, Santa Clara 35%72' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 15%, draw 51%, Santa Clara 34%73' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 15%, draw 52%, Santa Clara 33%74' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 15%, draw 53%, Santa Clara 32%75' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 14%, draw 54%, Santa Clara 31%76' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 14%, draw 56%, Santa Clara 30%77' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 14%, draw 57%, Santa Clara 30%78' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 13%, draw 58%, Santa Clara 29%79' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 13%, draw 60%, Santa Clara 28%80' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 12%, draw 61%, Santa Clara 26%81' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 12%, draw 63%, Santa Clara 25%82' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 11%, draw 64%, Santa Clara 24%83' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 11%, draw 66%, Santa Clara 23%84' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 10%, draw 68%, Santa Clara 22%85' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 10%, draw 69%, Santa Clara 21%86' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 9%, draw 71%, Santa Clara 19%87' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 9%, draw 73%, Santa Clara 18%88' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 8%, draw 75%, Santa Clara 17%89' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 7%, draw 78%, Santa Clara 15%90' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 7%, draw 80%, Santa Clara 13%90+1' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 6%, draw 83%, Santa Clara 12%90+2' · 0–0 · Casa Pia 5%, draw 85%, Santa Clara 10%90+3' · 0–1 · Casa Pia 0%, draw 4%, Santa Clara 96%90+4' · 0–1 · Casa Pia 0%, draw 3%, Santa Clara 97%90+6' · 0–1 · Casa Pia 0%, draw 1%, Santa Clara 99%90+7' · 0–1 · Casa Pia 0%, draw 0%, Santa Clara 100%90+8' · 0–1 · Casa Pia 0%, draw 0%, Santa Clara 100%90+9' · 0–1 · Casa Pia 0%, draw 0%, Santa Clara 100%90+10' · 0–1 · Casa Pia 0%, draw 0%, Santa Clara 100%

Last reading, 90+10': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Casa Pia 39% to win: Santa Clara won.

  1. 18'Santa Clara:José Tavares 1742 +3*
  2. 52'Casa Pia:David Sousa 1752 −14*
  3. 54'Casa Pia:Felipe Silva 1672 −9* for Henrique Araújo 1713 −12*
  4. 57'Santa Clara:Joao Vasconcelos 1392 +38* for José Tavares 1742 +3*
  5. 67'Casa Pia:Henrique Araújo 1713 −12*
  6. 68'Santa Clara:Emanuel Moreira 1776 +5*
  7. 70'Santa Clara:Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira 1561 +9* for Tiago Ribeiro 1689 +9*
  8. 70'Santa Clara:Vitor Hugo Amorim de Assis 1590 −1* for Vinicius lopes 1764 +4*
  9. 72'Casa Pia: Márcio Gabriel Ferreira Pereira 1527 −8* for Lawrence Ofori 1777 −20*
  10. 73'Casa Pia:João Goulart 1727 −9* for Pedro Rosas 1567 −8*
  11. 77'Santa Clara:Henrique Silva 1473 −2* for Emanuel Moreira 1776 +5*
  12. 77'Santa Clara:Léo Jacó 1174 +2* for Brenner Lucas Goncalves Santos 1746 +7*
  13. 79'Casa Pia:Aymen Zouin 1418 −8* for Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri 1637 −8*
  14. 80'Casa Pia:Evans Maurin 1435 −8* for Benjamin Pauwels 1761 −18*
  15. 83'Casa Pia: Márcio Gabriel Ferreira Pereira 1527 −8*
  16. 90+2'Santa Clara:Joao Vasconcelos 1392 +38* assist Lucas Soares 1785 +34*
  17. 90+3'Santa Clara:Joao Vasconcelos 1392 +38*
  18. 90+5'Casa Pia:Andre Geraldes 1497 −15*
  19. 90+7'Santa Clara:Gonçalo Paciência 1730 +7*
  20. 90+10'Santa Clara:Pedro Ferreira 1811 +4*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-3-3
GIvan Mandić1577−8*
DGeraldes1497−15*
DKaly1645−12*
DDavid Sousa1752−14*
DPedro Rosas1567−8*
MSilvi1687−13*
ML. Ofori1777−20*
MM. El Boukammiri1637−8*
MJoão Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo1690−13*
MB. Pauwels1761−18*
FHenrique Araújo1713−12*
CFilipe Coelho1248−8*
GLucas França1801+5*
DLucas Soares1785+34*
DPedro Pacheco1820+26*
DEmanuel Fernandes1776+5*
DGuilherme Romão1827+3*
MJosé Luís Rocha Tavares1742+3*
MPedro Ferreira1811+4*
MTiago Ribeiro1689+9*
FVinícius Lopes1764+4*
FGonçalo Paciência1730+7*
FBrenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos1746+7*
CPetit1684+35*
Before kick-off: 39% · 25% · 37%(Casa Pia · draw · Santa Clara)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 0–1 had 5%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Casa Pia €1.0M, Santa Clara €927K.
  • Home advantage made Casa Pia the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
  • Santa Clara were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Casa Pia

17th in Primeira Liga · 4 pts from 7

  • 20 SepWEstoril 1630
  • 12 SepLFC Porto 1631
  • 6 SepDVitória SC 1646
  • 30 AugLMoreirense 1654
  • 24 AugLGIL Vicente 1688

Santa Clara

4th in Primeira Liga · 15 pts from 7

  • 20 SepDSC Braga 1755
  • 13 SepWArouca 1726
  • 6 SepWRio Ave 1696
  • 29 AugDAlverca 1674
  • 23 AugWFamalicao 1643

Season outlook

From the Primeira Liga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Casa Pia4 /733.50%0%46%17th
Santa Clara15 /744.50%4%2%6th
Casa Pia
Santa Clara

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Primeira Liga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Silvi
Silvi

Casa Pia · +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1700

Pedro Pacheco
Pedro Pacheco

Santa Clara · +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1795

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Filipe Emanuel Curto Coelho

Coach DNA: –

Petit

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Casa Pia: direct · low-volume (how Filipe Emanuel Curto Coelho plays) · Santa Clara: direct (how Petit plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.