Serie B · Regular Season - 12
Carrarese vs Virtus Entella
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
Carrarese host Virtus Entella on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Carrarese 48%, draw 27%, Virtus Entella 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Carrarese €931K, Virtus Entella €591K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Carrarese goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–013%
- 2–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- Other scores39%
Team Elo: Carrarese 1653 · Virtus Entella 1590
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Carrarese · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1689
Virtus Entella · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1736
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Carrarese
17th in Serie B · 10 pts from 11
- 8 NovLSampdoria Italy Serie B1660
- 1 NovLHellas Verona Italy Serie B1653
- 28 OctWArezzo Italy Serie B1662
- 25 OctLPalermo Italy Serie B1628
- 17 OctWModena Italy Serie B1651
Virtus Entella
16th in Serie B · 10 pts from 11
- 8 NovLModena Italy Serie B1540
- 31 OctLSampdoria Italy Serie B1649
- 27 OctDAvellino Italy Serie B1600
- 24 OctLMantova Italy Serie B1603
- 17 OctWPadova Italy Serie B1601
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrarese | 10 /11 | 44.3 | 0% | 1% | 20% | 14th |
| Virtus Entella | 10 /11 | 40.1 | 0% | 0% | 41% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Carrarese: balanced profile (how Guido Pagliuca plays) · Virtus Entella: balanced profile (how Andrea Chiappella plays)