Serie B · Regular Season - 11
Carrarese vs Sampdoria
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 16:15 UTC · Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
Carrarese host Sampdoria on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Carrarese 32%, draw 29%, Sampdoria 39%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Carrarese €964K, Sampdoria €1.7M.
- Style contrast in discipline (Serie B): Carrarese rank #4 of 20, Sampdoria #17.
- All 11 of Sampdoria's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Carrarese goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Carrarese 1682 · Sampdoria 1823
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Carrarese · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1625
Sampdoria · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1706
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Carrarese
14th in Serie B · 7 pts from 7
- 17 OctWModena Italy Serie B1656
- 11 OctWPadova Italy Serie B1620
- 19 SepLBenevento Italy Serie B1609
- 12 SepLCatanzaro Italy Serie B1589
- 5 SepLEmpoli Italy Serie B1646
Sampdoria
19th in Serie B · 4 pts from 7
- 18 OctLArezzo Italy Serie B1830
- 9 OctLAvellino Italy Serie B1824
- 19 SepWCatanzaro Italy Serie B1801
- 13 SepLMantova Italy Serie B1786
- 7 SepLPalermo Italy Serie B1817
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrarese | 7 /7 | 46.8 | 0% | 3% | 18% | 13th |
| Sampdoria | 4 /7 | 55.4 | <1% | 24% | 2% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Carrarese: balanced profile (how Guido Pagliuca plays) · Sampdoria: balanced profile (how Bernardo Corradi plays)