Championship · Regular Season - 14
Cardiff vs West Ham
Wed 4 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Cardiff host West Ham on Wed 4 Nov 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Cardiff 24%, draw 27%, West Ham 49%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cardiff €1.4M, West Ham €11.6M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Championship matchday 14: 252 points.
- Championship: M. Hermansen is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2281).
- Style contrast in attacking (Championship): Cardiff rank #2 of 24, West Ham #24.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Cardiff goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.9 pts
Team Elo: Cardiff 1935 · West Ham 2187
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cardiff · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1994
West Ham · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 2401
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cardiff
19th in Championship · 11 pts from 11
- 17 OctDMiddlesbrough England Championship1956
- 13 OctWWatford England Championship1941
- 10 OctLBlackburn England Championship1942
- 19 SepWCharlton England Championship1916
- 12 SepLBolton England Championship1927
West Ham
2nd in Championship · 22 pts from 11
- 17 OctWSwansea England Championship2153
- 14 OctWLincoln England Championship2170
- 9 OctDQPR England Championship2211
- 19 SepDMillwall England Championship2209
- 15 SepLFulham England League Cup1979
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | 11 /11 | 55.2 | 0% | 1% | 14% | 21st |
| West Ham | 22 /11 | 87.4 | 61% | 94% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cardiff: balanced profile (how Brian Barry-Murphy plays) · West Ham: balanced profile (how Nuno Espírito Santo plays)