Championship · Regular Season - 17
Cardiff vs Preston
Tue 24 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Cardiff host Preston on Tue 24 Nov 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Cardiff 56%, draw 25%, Preston 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cardiff €1.4M, Preston €1.9M.
- Style contrast in attacking (Championship): Cardiff rank #2 of 24, Preston #21.
- Preston's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.0 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Cardiff goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 1–09%
- 3–16%
- 2–26%
- Other scores48%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–1expected 4.2 pts
Team Elo: Cardiff 1961 · Preston 1794
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cardiff · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Elite) · Elo 2009
Preston · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1814
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cardiff
14th in Championship · 18 pts from 15
- 7 NovWBurnley England Championship1966
- 4 NovDWest Ham England Championship1929
- 31 OctLWolves England Championship1943
- 24 OctWBirmingham England Championship1921
- 17 OctDMiddlesbrough England Championship1947
Preston
24th in Championship · 8 pts from 15
- 7 NovWSouthampton England Championship1768
- 3 NovLSheffield Utd England Championship1777
- 31 OctLStoke City England Championship1779
- 24 OctDWest Brom England Championship1781
- 17 OctLWrexham England Championship1792
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | 18 /15 | 58.9 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 14th |
| Preston | 8 /15 | 37.2 | 0% | 0% | 93% | 24th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cardiff: balanced profile (how Brian Barry-Murphy plays) · Preston: balanced profile (how G. Alexander plays)