Primera División · Clausura - 12
Caracas FC 4–1 Zamora FC
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 21:30 UTC
Caracas FCTeam 1351
Zamora FCTeam 1235- J. Quintero 10', 33'
- J. De Santis 14' (pen)
- A. Villarreal 31'
- S. Torrealba 41'
We gave Caracas FC 51% to win: they did.
- J. Quintero – assist Robert Hernandez –10'
Caracas FC:J. Quintero – assist Robert Hernandez – - J. De Santis – (pen.)14'
Caracas FC:J. De Santis – (pen.) - 18'F. Espinal –
Zamora FC:F. Espinal – - A. Villarreal – assist A. Figueroa –31'
Caracas FC:A. Villarreal – assist A. Figueroa – - 31'J. Mosquera – for B. Rodriguez –
Zamora FC:J. Mosquera – for B. Rodriguez – - J. Quintero – assist Robert Hernandez –33'
Caracas FC:J. Quintero – assist Robert Hernandez – - 41'S. Torrealba –
Zamora FC:S. Torrealba – - C. Larotonda – for A. Figueroa –55'
Caracas FC:C. Larotonda – for A. Figueroa – - 56'J. Sinisterra –
Zamora FC:J. Sinisterra – - 62'A. Flores –
Zamora FC:A. Flores – - 66'S. Gomez – for J. Exime –
Zamora FC:S. Gomez – for J. Exime – - 66'H. Manrique – for E. Gallardo –
Zamora FC:H. Manrique – for E. Gallardo – - M. Covea – for W. Correa –79'
Caracas FC:M. Covea – for W. Correa – - J. Uribe – for Robert Hernandez –79'
Caracas FC:J. Uribe – for Robert Hernandez – - C. Vegas – for A. Villarreal –79'
Caracas FC:C. Vegas – for A. Villarreal – - 80'J. Flores – for F. Espinal –
Zamora FC:J. Flores – for F. Espinal – - 80'M. Guevara – for S. Torrealba –
Zamora FC:M. Guevara – for S. Torrealba – - 80'A. Leon for A. Flores –
Zamora FC:A. Leon for A. Flores – - S. Gonzalez – for J. De Santis –83'
Caracas FC:S. Gonzalez – for J. De Santis –
Before kick-off (provisional): 51% · 27% · 23%(Caracas FC · draw · Zamora FC)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 4–1 had 2%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Caracas FC €216K, Zamora FC €149K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Caracas FC
9th in Primera División · 26 pts from 24
- 16 SepLMetropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division1359
- 13 SepLMonagas SC Venezuela Primera Division1360
- 6 SepWTrujillanos FC Venezuela Primera Division1304
- 2 SepDPortuguesa FC Venezuela Primera Division1326
- 31 JulLSanta Fe Copa Sudamericana1402
Zamora FC
11th in Primera División · 25 pts from 24
- 16 SepLMonagas SC Venezuela Primera Division1222
- 13 SepLTrujillanos FC Venezuela Primera Division1230
- 5 SepDPortuguesa FC Venezuela Primera Division1190
- 2 SepLDeportivo Tachira FC Venezuela Primera Division1208
- 25 AprDAcademia Anzoátegui Venezuela Primera Division1263
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caracas FC | 26 /24 | 29.4 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 9th |
| Zamora FC | 25 /24 | 27.6 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Caracas FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1473
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct · low-volume