Primera División · Clausura - Quadrangular - 1
Caracas FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 22:00 UTC · Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas
Caracas FC host Deportivo Tachira FC on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Caracas FC 32%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 39%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Caracas FC €260K, Deportivo Tachira FC €387K.
- Primera División: D. Alfonzo is the highest-rated defender (1729).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Caracas FC goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Caracas FC 1364 · Deportivo Tachira FC 1487
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Caracas FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1496
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Caracas FC
9th in Primera División · 32 pts from 26
- 18 OctWRayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division1337
- 16 SepLMetropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division1359
- 13 SepLMonagas SC Venezuela Primera Division1360
- 6 SepWTrujillanos FC Venezuela Primera Division1304
- 2 SepDPortuguesa FC Venezuela Primera Division1326
Deportivo Tachira FC
2nd in Primera División · 51 pts from 26
- 17 OctDCarabobo FC Venezuela Primera Division1323
- 15 SepDPuerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division1522
- 12 SepLEstudiantes de Merida FC Venezuela Primera Division1490
- 6 SepWRayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division1553
- 2 SepWZamora FC Venezuela Primera Division1488
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caracas FC | 32 /26 | 39.4 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 7th |
| Deportivo Tachira FC | 51 /26 | 60.5 | 15% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct · low-volume
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Caracas FC: balanced profile (how N. Sanvicente plays) · Deportivo Tachira FC: low-volume (how Á. Recoba plays)