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Primera División · Clausura - 13

Carabobo FC 2–2 Deportivo Tachira FC

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 22:30 UTC · Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado, Valencia

Carabobo FC crestCarabobo FCTeam 1456
2–2
Full time
HT 0–1
Deportivo Tachira FC crestDeportivo Tachira FCTeam 1343

Match story

Carabobo FC · draw · Deportivo Tachira FC

Before kick-off: 50% · 27% · 23%

Live chances: Carabobo FC 3%, draw 95%, Deportivo Tachira FC 2% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 50%, draw 27%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%2' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 50%, draw 27%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%3' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 50%, draw 27%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%4' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 50%, draw 27%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%5' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 50%, draw 28%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%6' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 50%, draw 28%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%7' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 49%, draw 28%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%8' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 49%, draw 28%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%9' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 49%, draw 28%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%10' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 49%, draw 28%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%11' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 49%, draw 28%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%12' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 49%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%13' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 49%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%14' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 48%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%15' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 48%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%16' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 48%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%17' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 48%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%18' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 48%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%19' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 48%, draw 30%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%20' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 47%, draw 30%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%21' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 47%, draw 30%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%22' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 47%, draw 30%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%23' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 47%, draw 30%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%24' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 47%, draw 31%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%25' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 46%, draw 31%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%26' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 46%, draw 31%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%27' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 46%, draw 31%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%28' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 46%, draw 31%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%29' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 46%, draw 31%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%30' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 45%, draw 32%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%31' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 45%, draw 32%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%32' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 45%, draw 32%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%33' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 45%, draw 32%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%34' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 44%, draw 33%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%35' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 44%, draw 33%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%36' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 44%, draw 33%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%37' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 44%, draw 33%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%38' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 44%, draw 34%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%39' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 43%, draw 34%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%40' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 43%, draw 34%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%41' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 43%, draw 35%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%42' · 0–0 · Carabobo FC 42%, draw 35%, Deportivo Tachira FC 23%43' · 0–1 · Carabobo FC 21%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 49%44' · 0–1 · Carabobo FC 21%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 50%45' · 0–1 · Carabobo FC 21%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 50%45+1' · 0–1 · Carabobo FC 20%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 51%45+2' · 0–1 · Carabobo FC 20%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 51%45+3' · 0–1 · Carabobo FC 19%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 51%HT · 0–1 · Carabobo FC 19%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 51%46' · 0–1 · Carabobo FC 19%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 52%47' · 0–1 · Carabobo FC 19%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 52%48' · 0–1 · Carabobo FC 18%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 52%49' · 0–1 · Carabobo FC 18%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 53%50' · 0–1 · Carabobo FC 17%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 53%51' · 0–1 · Carabobo FC 17%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 54%52' · 1–1 · Carabobo FC 38%, draw 40%, Deportivo Tachira FC 22%53' · 1–1 · Carabobo FC 38%, draw 40%, Deportivo Tachira FC 22%54' · 1–1 · Carabobo FC 38%, draw 41%, Deportivo Tachira FC 22%55' · 1–1 · Carabobo FC 37%, draw 42%, Deportivo Tachira FC 21%56' · 1–2 · Carabobo FC 15%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 56%57' · 1–2 · Carabobo FC 14%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 57%58' · 1–2 · Carabobo FC 14%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 58%59' · 1–2 · Carabobo FC 13%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 58%60' · 1–2 · Carabobo FC 13%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 59%61' · 1–2 · Carabobo FC 12%, draw 28%, Deportivo Tachira FC 59%62' · 1–2 · Carabobo FC 12%, draw 28%, Deportivo Tachira FC 60%63' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 33%, draw 47%, Deportivo Tachira FC 20%64' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 33%, draw 48%, Deportivo Tachira FC 20%65' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 32%, draw 48%, Deportivo Tachira FC 20%66' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 32%, draw 49%, Deportivo Tachira FC 19%67' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 31%, draw 50%, Deportivo Tachira FC 19%68' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 31%, draw 51%, Deportivo Tachira FC 19%69' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 30%, draw 52%, Deportivo Tachira FC 19%70' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 29%, draw 53%, Deportivo Tachira FC 18%71' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 29%, draw 53%, Deportivo Tachira FC 18%72' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 28%, draw 54%, Deportivo Tachira FC 18%73' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 27%, draw 55%, Deportivo Tachira FC 17%74' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 27%, draw 56%, Deportivo Tachira FC 17%76' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 25%, draw 59%, Deportivo Tachira FC 16%77' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 24%, draw 60%, Deportivo Tachira FC 16%78' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 24%, draw 61%, Deportivo Tachira FC 15%80' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 22%, draw 64%, Deportivo Tachira FC 14%81' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 21%, draw 65%, Deportivo Tachira FC 14%82' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 20%, draw 67%, Deportivo Tachira FC 13%83' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 19%, draw 68%, Deportivo Tachira FC 13%84' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 18%, draw 70%, Deportivo Tachira FC 12%85' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 17%, draw 71%, Deportivo Tachira FC 11%86' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 16%, draw 73%, Deportivo Tachira FC 11%87' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 15%, draw 75%, Deportivo Tachira FC 10%88' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 14%, draw 77%, Deportivo Tachira FC 9%89' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 12%, draw 79%, Deportivo Tachira FC 9%90' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 11%, draw 81%, Deportivo Tachira FC 8%90+1' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 10%, draw 84%, Deportivo Tachira FC 7%90+2' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 8%, draw 86%, Deportivo Tachira FC 6%90+3' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 6%, draw 89%, Deportivo Tachira FC 4%90+4' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 5%, draw 92%, Deportivo Tachira FC 3%90+5' · 2–2 · Carabobo FC 3%, draw 95%, Deportivo Tachira FC 2%

Last reading, 90+5': 3% · 95% · 2%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Carabobo FC 50% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 24'Deportivo Tachira FC:Carlos Mendez 1115 +12*
  2. 43'Deportivo Tachira FC:Franco Provenzano 1307 +6* assist Adalberto Peñaranda 1630 −4*
  3. 52'Carabobo FC:Eric Ramirez 1646 −12* assist Juan Camilo Pérez Vasco 1568 −10*
  4. 55'Deportivo Tachira FC:Jose Duran 1145 −8* (own goal)
  5. 57'Carabobo FC:Maurice Cova 1516 −14*
  6. 59'Deportivo Tachira FC:Brayan Palmezano 1601 for Oscar Hernandez 1446 −4*
  7. 60'Deportivo Tachira FC:Agustín Pérez 1642 for Gustavo Lozano 1289 +6*
  8. 61'Carabobo FC:Sebastian Mendoza 1406 for Maurice Cova 1516 −14*
  9. 61'Carabobo FC:Yohandry Orozco 1479 for Darwin Machís 1556 −14*
  10. 62'Carabobo FC:Eric Ramirez 1646 −12* assist Yohandry Orozco 1479
  11. 69'Carabobo FC:Dimas Meza 1258 for Joshuan Berios 1578 −9*
  12. 76'Deportivo Tachira FC:Luis Morales for edwin vargas 1168 +10*
  13. 76'Deportivo Tachira FC:Delvin Alfonzo 1729 for Jesús David Duarte Arias 1124 +11*
  14. 83'Carabobo FC:marcel guaramato 1131 for Jose Duran 1145 −8*
  15. 83'Carabobo FC:Edson Castillo 1430 for Matias Adrian Nuñez 1568 −9*
  16. 88'Deportivo Tachira FC:Guillermo Fratta 1642 for Carlos Mendez 1115 +12*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GM. Silva1439−8*
DJ. Duran1145−8*
DE. Neira1636−11*
DL. Aponte1473−11*
MJ. Pérez1568−10*
MM. Núñez1568−9*
MM. Cova1516−14*
FJ. Berios1578−9*
FE. Ramírez1646−12*
FD. Machís1556−14*
FB. Castillo1151−8*
CDaniel Farías1612−10*
GEdwin Vargas1168+10*
DF. Provenzano1307+6*
DW. Wilches1207+9*
DE. Tamiche1107+12*
DJ. Sánchez1561−1*
DC. Calzadilla1393+3*
MÓ. Hernández1446−4*
MC. Méndez1115+12*
MG. Lozano1289+6*
FA. Peñaranda1630−4*
FJ. Duarte1124+11*
CÁ. Recoba1703−4*
Before kick-off: 50% · 27% · 23%(Carabobo FC · draw · Deportivo Tachira FC)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–2 had 5%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Carabobo FC €330K, Deportivo Tachira FC €246K.
  • Home advantage made Carabobo FC the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
  • Primera División: D. Alfonzo was the highest-rated defender (1729).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Carabobo FC

4th in Primera División · 40 pts from 25

  • 15 SepWDeportivo La Guaira 1473
  • 12 SepWPuerto Cabello 1439
  • 7 SepWEstudiantes de Merida FC 1439
  • 3 SepLRayo Zuliano 1401
  • 7 JunWPuerto Cabello 1566

Deportivo Tachira FC

2nd in Primera División · 50 pts from 25

  • 15 SepDPuerto Cabello 1522
  • 12 SepLEstudiantes de Merida FC 1490
  • 6 SepWRayo Zuliano 1553
  • 2 SepWZamora FC 1488
  • 31 MayWEstudiantes de Merida FC 1462

Season outlook

From the Primera División simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Carabobo FC40 /2541.50%60%0%4th
Deportivo Tachira FC50 /2551.20%100%0%2nd
Carabobo FC
Deportivo Tachira FC

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Primera División

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

M. Núñez
M. Núñez

Carabobo FC · +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1577

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Daniel Alejandro Farías Acosta

Coach DNA: –

Álvaro Alexander Recoba Rivero

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Carabobo FC: balanced profile (how Daniel Alejandro Farías Acosta plays) · Deportivo Tachira FC: low-volume (how Álvaro Alexander Recoba Rivero plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.