Primera División · Clausura - Quadrangular - 2
Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 21:30 UTC · Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado, Valencia
Carabobo FC host Deportivo La Guaira on Wed 28 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Carabobo FC 52%, draw 26%, Deportivo La Guaira 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Carabobo FC €345K, Deportivo La Guaira €284K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the Primera División Clausura - Quadrangular - 2: 129 points.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Carabobo FC goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Carabobo FC 1513 · Deportivo La Guaira 1384
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Carabobo FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1568
Deportivo La Guaira · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1410
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Carabobo FC
4th in Primera División · 41 pts from 26
- 17 OctDDeportivo Tachira FC Venezuela Primera Division1494
- 15 SepWDeportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division1473
- 12 SepWPuerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division1439
- 7 SepWEstudiantes de Merida FC Venezuela Primera Division1439
- 3 SepLRayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division1401
Deportivo La Guaira
3rd in Primera División · 44 pts from 26
- 17 OctLTrujillanos FC Venezuela Primera Division1379
- 15 SepLCarabobo FC Venezuela Primera Division1382
- 12 SepLUCV Venezuela Primera Division1342
- 6 SepWAnzoátegui FC Venezuela Primera Division1345
- 3 SepDPuerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division1295
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carabobo FC | 41 /26 | 51.5 | 0% | 80% | 0% | 3rd |
| Deportivo La Guaira | 44 /26 | 52.0 | <1% | 80% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile