Eredivisie · Regular Season - 9
Cambuur 2–2 AZ Alkmaar
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
CambuurTeam 1726
AZ AlkmaarTeam 2086Match story
Cambuur · draw · AZ AlkmaarBefore kick-off: 17% · 23% · 60%
Last reading, 90+22': 0% · 100% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Nicolas Binder 7'
- Ilyes Hamache 39'
- Ro Zangelo Daal 26'
- Mexx Meerdink 83' (pen)
We gave AZ Alkmaar 60% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Nicolas Binder 1541 +33 assist Jason Ceka 1737 +167'
Cambuur:Nicolas Binder 1541 +33 assist Jason Ceka 1737 +16 - 10'Lewis Schouten 2048 −1
AZ Alkmaar:Lewis Schouten 2048 −1 - Devid Eugene Bouah 1677 +624'
Cambuur:Devid Eugene Bouah 1677 +6 - 26'Ro Zangelo Daal 2140 −9 assist Peer Koopmeiners 2139 −9
AZ Alkmaar:Ro Zangelo Daal 2140 −9 assist Peer Koopmeiners 2139 −9 - Ilyes Hamache 1711 +26 assist Billy van Duijl 1949 +439'
Cambuur:Ilyes Hamache 1711 +26 assist Billy van Duijl 1949 +4 - Devid Eugene Bouah 1677 +653'
Cambuur:Devid Eugene Bouah 1677 +6 - Rik Mulders 1881 +2 for Jason Ceka 1737 +1657'
Cambuur:Rik Mulders 1881 +2 for Jason Ceka 1737 +16 - 59'Ayoub Oufkir 1813 0
AZ Alkmaar:Ayoub Oufkir 1813 0 - 63'Mees de Wit 2050 −1 for Mateo Chávez 2115 −2
AZ Alkmaar:Mees de Wit 2050 −1 for Mateo Chávez 2115 −2 - 63'Bendegúz Kovács 1738 0 for Ayoub Oufkir 1813 0
AZ Alkmaar:Bendegúz Kovács 1738 0 for Ayoub Oufkir 1813 0 - 64'Valdemar Byskov Andreasen 1986 0 for Jordy Clasie 1937 −8
AZ Alkmaar:Valdemar Byskov Andreasen 1986 0 for Jordy Clasie 1937 −8 - 64'Dave Kwakman 2122 −1 for Wouter Goes 2175 −3
AZ Alkmaar:Dave Kwakman 2122 −1 for Wouter Goes 2175 −3 - Sami Bouhoudane 1422 +3 for Nicolas Binder 1541 +3374'
Cambuur:Sami Bouhoudane 1422 +3 for Nicolas Binder 1541 +33 - Johan Plat81'
Cambuur:Johan Plat - Thijs Jansen 1927 +582'
Cambuur:Thijs Jansen 1927 +5 - 83'Mexx Meerdink 2141 −9 (pen.)
AZ Alkmaar:Mexx Meerdink 2141 −9 (pen.) - Jorn Berkhout 1843 −7* for Mathieu Maertens 1636 +884'
Cambuur:Jorn Berkhout 1843 −7* for Mathieu Maertens 1636 +8 - Wiebe Kooistra 1363 −6* for Rafik El Arguioui 1825 +784'
Cambuur:Wiebe Kooistra 1363 −6* for Rafik El Arguioui 1825 +7 - Iwan Henstra 1397 −6* for Ilyes Hamache 1711 +2684'
Cambuur:Iwan Henstra 1397 −6* for Ilyes Hamache 1711 +26 - 89'Jerolldino Bergraaf for Calvin Stengs 2150 −4
AZ Alkmaar:Jerolldino Bergraaf for Calvin Stengs 2150 −4
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 17% · 23% · 60%(Cambuur · draw · AZ Alkmaar)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 2–2 had 5%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Cambuur €923K, AZ Alkmaar €5.4M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Eredivisie matchday 9: 320 points.
- Style contrast in discipline (Eredivisie): Cambuur ranked #4 of 18, AZ Alkmaar #15.
- Only 2 of AZ Alkmaar's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cambuur
13th in Eredivisie · 8 pts from 8
- 11 OctWPEC Zwolle Eredivisie1739
- 19 SepDADO Den Haag Eredivisie1726
- 12 SepWNEC Nijmegen Eredivisie1675
- 6 SepDTelstar Eredivisie1702
- 30 AugLTwente Eredivisie1739
AZ Alkmaar
2nd in Eredivisie · 19 pts from 8
- 15 OctWHapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Europa League2012
- 10 OctLFeyenoord Eredivisie2093
- 20 SepWTelstar Eredivisie2111
- 16 SepLSunderland UEFA Europa League2090
- 11 SepDWillem II Eredivisie2127
Season outlook
From the Eredivisie simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur | 8 /8 | 36.0 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 14th |
| AZ Alkmaar | 19 /8 | 66.4 | 13% | 79% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Cambuur · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1944

AZ Alkmaar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.3 (Good) · Elo 2149
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy · possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cambuur: balanced profile (how Johan Plat plays) · AZ Alkmaar: balanced profile (how Leeroy Echteld plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.