League One · Regular Season - 16
Cambridge United vs Stockport County
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Abbey Stadium, Cambridge
Cambridge United host Stockport County on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Cambridge United 38%, draw 29%, Stockport County 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cambridge United €489K, Stockport County €730K.
- Home advantage makes Cambridge United the favourite here: it adds 7 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in attacking (League One): Cambridge United rank #24 of 24, Stockport County #1.
- Stockport County's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Cambridge United goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 0–08%
- 1–28%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Cambridge United 1780 · Stockport County 1834
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cambridge United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1854
Stockport County · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 1871
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cambridge United
8th in League One · 21 pts from 14
- 6 NovLBristol Rovers England FA Cup1800
- 3 NovWBrighton U21 England EFL Trophy1663
- 31 OctLLeyton Orient England League One1795
- 27 OctDSheffield Wednesday England League One1770
- 24 OctLPlymouth England League One1814
Stockport County
2nd in League One · 26 pts from 14
- 10 NovDTranmere England EFL Trophy1634
- 31 OctWAFC Wimbledon England League One1802
- 27 OctLOxford United England League One1835
- 24 OctDNotts County England League One1884
- 20 OctWDoncaster England League One1860
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambridge United | 21 /14 | 63.4 | <1% | 5% | 1% | 11th |
| Stockport County | 26 /14 | 72.5 | 7% | 37% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cambridge United: balanced profile (how Neil Harris plays) · Stockport County: balanced profile (how Jimmy McNulty plays)