League One · Regular Season - 13
Cambridge United vs Plymouth
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Abbey Stadium, Cambridge
Cambridge United host Plymouth on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Cambridge United 33%, draw 29%, Plymouth 39%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cambridge United €415K, Plymouth €792K.
- League One: A. Pepple is the highest-rated forward (2023).
- Cambridge United are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Cambridge United goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Cambridge United 1790 · Plymouth 1918
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cambridge United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1896
Plymouth · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1958
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cambridge United
5th in League One · 19 pts from 10
- 17 OctWBarnsley England League One1794
- 10 OctWBlackpool England League One1779
- 6 OctWNorthampton England EFL Trophy1715
- 26 SepDAFC Wimbledon England League One1739
- 22 SepWGillingham England EFL Trophy1675
Plymouth
4th in League One · 19 pts from 11
- 17 OctLHuddersfield England League One1938
- 10 OctWAFC Wimbledon England League One1900
- 6 OctDNewport County England EFL Trophy1747
- 3 OctWLeyton Orient England League One1895
- 26 SepLBurton Albion England League One1916
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambridge United | 19 /10 | 67.7 | 4% | 21% | 1% | 5th |
| Plymouth | 19 /11 | 77.5 | 30% | 71% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: low-block · low-volume
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cambridge United: balanced profile (how Neil Harris plays) · Plymouth: direct (how Tom Cleverley plays)