League One · Regular Season - 10
Cambridge United 1–0 Blackpool
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Abbey Stadium, Cambridge
Cambridge UnitedTeam 1761BlackpoolTeam 1803- Gassan Ahadme 82'
We gave Cambridge United 39% to win: they did.
- 6'George Honeyman –Blackpool:George Honeyman –
- 31'Oliver Casey –Blackpool:Oliver Casey –
- Owen Moxon – for Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu –45'Cambridge United:Owen Moxon – for Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu –
- 52'Hayden Coulson – for Tom Bloxham –Blackpool:Hayden Coulson – for Tom Bloxham –
- Shayne Lavery – for Isaac Heath –60'Cambridge United:Shayne Lavery – for Isaac Heath –
- 68'Ilmari Niskanen – for Josh Bowler –Blackpool:Ilmari Niskanen – for Josh Bowler –
- 69'Dion Charles – for Jerry Yates –Blackpool:Dion Charles – for Jerry Yates –
- 76'Jordan Brown – for Albie Morgan –Blackpool:Jordan Brown – for Albie Morgan –
- Gassan Ahadme – assist Ben Knight –82'Cambridge United:Gassan Ahadme – assist Ben Knight –
- Raees Bangura-Williams – for Ben Knight –84'Cambridge United:Raees Bangura-Williams – for Ben Knight –
- Sullay Kaikai –86'Cambridge United:Sullay Kaikai –
- 90+4'Finley Munroe –Blackpool:Finley Munroe –
Before kick-off (provisional): 39% · 29% · 32%(Cambridge United · draw · Blackpool)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cambridge United €383K, Blackpool €709K.
- Home advantage made Cambridge United the favourite: it added 7 points to their win chance.
- Cambridge United were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cambridge United
6th in League One · 13 pts from 8
- 6 OctWNorthampton England EFL Trophy1715
- 26 SepDAFC Wimbledon England League One1739
- 22 SepWGillingham England EFL Trophy1675
- 19 SepDOxford United England League One1765
- 12 SepWReading England League One1759
Blackpool
15th in League One · 8 pts from 7
- 6 OctDCrewe England EFL Trophy1787
- 22 SepLWigan England EFL Trophy1743
- 19 SepLPlymouth England League One1839
- 12 SepDBromley England League One1836
- 5 SepLReading England League One1818
Season outlook
From the League One simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambridge United | 13 /8 | 62.9 | 2% | 12% | 4% | 12th |
| Blackpool | 8 /7 | 61.7 | 1% | 10% | 6% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cambridge United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1844
Blackpool · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1833
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cambridge United: balanced profile (how Neil Harris plays) · Blackpool: balanced profile (how Ian Ross Evatt plays)