Premier League · Regular Season - 14
Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · The Oval, Caernarfon
Caernarfon Town host Briton Ferry on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Caernarfon Town 53%, draw 26%, Briton Ferry 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Caernarfon Town €88K, Briton Ferry €61K.
- C. Roberts, Morgan Rhys Wyn Owen, J. Lock, R. Sears, P. Mooney, D. Gosset, I. Lewis, D. Smith, Kyle Harrison and Paulo Mendes (Caernarfon Town) have not played for over 90 days.
- W. Fuller, K. Jenkins, R. Owen, L. Bates, L. Cooper, J. Fanning, A. Gammond, T. Walters, K. Williams, M. Bates and T. Price (Briton Ferry) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Caernarfon Town goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Caernarfon Town 1295 · Briton Ferry 1150
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Caernarfon Town from last season's line-ups (latest 3 April 2026); Briton Ferry from last season's line-ups (latest 3 April 2026).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Caernarfon Town
4th in Premier League · 26 pts from 13
- 16 JulLFC Levadia Tallinn UEFA Conference League1244
- 9 JulLFC Levadia Tallinn UEFA Conference League1368
- 3 AprWColwyn Bay Wales Premier League1331
- 27 MarLThe New Saints Wales Premier League1203
- 13 MarLGAP Connah S Quay FC Wales Premier League1350
Briton Ferry
11th in Premier League · 12 pts from 13
- 3 AprWCardiff MET Wales Premier League1137
- 28 MarLHaverfordwest County AFC Wales Premier League1135
- 16 MarWCardiff MET Wales Premier League1110
- 13 MarWllanelli AFC Wales Premier League1139
- 21 FebWBala Town Wales Premier League1099
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 26 /13 | 47.5 | 1% | 75% | 0% | 3rd |
| Briton Ferry | 12 /13 | 29.0 | 0% | <1% | 38% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –