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Segunda División · Regular Season - 9

Cadiz 0–1 Sporting Gijon

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Nuevo Mirandilla, Cadiz

Cadiz crestCadizTeam 1699
0–1
Full time
HT 0–0
Sporting Gijon crestSporting GijonTeam 1758

Match story

Cadiz · draw · Sporting Gijon

Before kick-off: 40% · 28% · 32%

Live chances: Cadiz 0%, draw 4%, Sporting Gijon 96% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Cadiz 40%, draw 28%, Sporting Gijon 32%2' · 0–0 · Cadiz 40%, draw 28%, Sporting Gijon 32%3' · 0–0 · Cadiz 40%, draw 28%, Sporting Gijon 32%4' · 0–0 · Cadiz 40%, draw 28%, Sporting Gijon 32%5' · 0–0 · Cadiz 40%, draw 28%, Sporting Gijon 32%6' · 0–0 · Cadiz 40%, draw 29%, Sporting Gijon 31%7' · 0–0 · Cadiz 40%, draw 29%, Sporting Gijon 31%8' · 0–0 · Cadiz 40%, draw 29%, Sporting Gijon 31%9' · 0–0 · Cadiz 40%, draw 29%, Sporting Gijon 31%10' · 0–0 · Cadiz 40%, draw 29%, Sporting Gijon 31%11' · 0–0 · Cadiz 39%, draw 29%, Sporting Gijon 31%12' · 0–0 · Cadiz 39%, draw 29%, Sporting Gijon 31%13' · 0–0 · Cadiz 39%, draw 30%, Sporting Gijon 31%14' · 0–0 · Cadiz 39%, draw 30%, Sporting Gijon 31%15' · 0–0 · Cadiz 39%, draw 30%, Sporting Gijon 31%16' · 0–0 · Cadiz 39%, draw 30%, Sporting Gijon 31%17' · 0–0 · Cadiz 39%, draw 30%, Sporting Gijon 31%18' · 0–0 · Cadiz 39%, draw 30%, Sporting Gijon 31%19' · 0–0 · Cadiz 39%, draw 31%, Sporting Gijon 31%20' · 0–0 · Cadiz 38%, draw 31%, Sporting Gijon 31%21' · 0–0 · Cadiz 38%, draw 31%, Sporting Gijon 31%22' · 0–0 · Cadiz 38%, draw 31%, Sporting Gijon 31%23' · 0–0 · Cadiz 38%, draw 31%, Sporting Gijon 31%24' · 0–0 · Cadiz 38%, draw 32%, Sporting Gijon 30%25' · 0–0 · Cadiz 38%, draw 32%, Sporting Gijon 30%26' · 0–0 · Cadiz 38%, draw 32%, Sporting Gijon 30%27' · 0–0 · Cadiz 37%, draw 32%, Sporting Gijon 30%28' · 0–0 · Cadiz 37%, draw 33%, Sporting Gijon 30%29' · 0–0 · Cadiz 37%, draw 33%, Sporting Gijon 30%30' · 0–0 · Cadiz 37%, draw 33%, Sporting Gijon 30%31' · 0–0 · Cadiz 37%, draw 33%, Sporting Gijon 30%32' · 0–0 · Cadiz 37%, draw 33%, Sporting Gijon 30%33' · 0–0 · Cadiz 36%, draw 34%, Sporting Gijon 30%34' · 0–0 · Cadiz 36%, draw 34%, Sporting Gijon 30%35' · 0–0 · Cadiz 36%, draw 34%, Sporting Gijon 30%36' · 0–0 · Cadiz 36%, draw 35%, Sporting Gijon 29%37' · 0–0 · Cadiz 36%, draw 35%, Sporting Gijon 29%38' · 0–0 · Cadiz 36%, draw 35%, Sporting Gijon 29%39' · 0–0 · Cadiz 35%, draw 35%, Sporting Gijon 29%40' · 0–0 · Cadiz 35%, draw 36%, Sporting Gijon 29%41' · 0–0 · Cadiz 35%, draw 36%, Sporting Gijon 29%42' · 0–0 · Cadiz 35%, draw 36%, Sporting Gijon 29%43' · 0–0 · Cadiz 35%, draw 37%, Sporting Gijon 29%44' · 0–0 · Cadiz 34%, draw 37%, Sporting Gijon 28%45' · 0–0 · Cadiz 34%, draw 37%, Sporting Gijon 28%45+1' · 0–0 · Cadiz 34%, draw 38%, Sporting Gijon 28%HT · 0–0 · Cadiz 33%, draw 39%, Sporting Gijon 28%46' · 0–0 · Cadiz 33%, draw 39%, Sporting Gijon 28%48' · 0–0 · Cadiz 33%, draw 40%, Sporting Gijon 27%49' · 0–0 · Cadiz 33%, draw 40%, Sporting Gijon 27%50' · 0–0 · Cadiz 32%, draw 41%, Sporting Gijon 27%51' · 0–0 · Cadiz 32%, draw 41%, Sporting Gijon 27%52' · 0–0 · Cadiz 32%, draw 42%, Sporting Gijon 27%53' · 0–0 · Cadiz 31%, draw 42%, Sporting Gijon 26%54' · 0–0 · Cadiz 31%, draw 43%, Sporting Gijon 26%55' · 0–0 · Cadiz 31%, draw 44%, Sporting Gijon 26%56' · 0–0 · Cadiz 30%, draw 44%, Sporting Gijon 26%57' · 0–0 · Cadiz 30%, draw 45%, Sporting Gijon 25%58' · 0–0 · Cadiz 29%, draw 46%, Sporting Gijon 25%59' · 0–0 · Cadiz 29%, draw 46%, Sporting Gijon 25%60' · 0–0 · Cadiz 29%, draw 47%, Sporting Gijon 24%61' · 0–0 · Cadiz 28%, draw 48%, Sporting Gijon 24%62' · 0–0 · Cadiz 28%, draw 48%, Sporting Gijon 24%63' · 0–0 · Cadiz 27%, draw 49%, Sporting Gijon 23%64' · 0–0 · Cadiz 27%, draw 50%, Sporting Gijon 23%65' · 0–0 · Cadiz 27%, draw 51%, Sporting Gijon 23%66' · 0–0 · Cadiz 26%, draw 52%, Sporting Gijon 22%67' · 0–0 · Cadiz 26%, draw 52%, Sporting Gijon 22%68' · 0–0 · Cadiz 25%, draw 53%, Sporting Gijon 22%69' · 0–0 · Cadiz 25%, draw 54%, Sporting Gijon 21%70' · 0–0 · Cadiz 24%, draw 55%, Sporting Gijon 21%71' · 0–0 · Cadiz 24%, draw 56%, Sporting Gijon 20%72' · 0–0 · Cadiz 23%, draw 57%, Sporting Gijon 20%73' · 0–0 · Cadiz 23%, draw 58%, Sporting Gijon 20%74' · 0–0 · Cadiz 22%, draw 59%, Sporting Gijon 19%75' · 0–0 · Cadiz 21%, draw 60%, Sporting Gijon 19%76' · 0–0 · Cadiz 21%, draw 61%, Sporting Gijon 18%77' · 0–0 · Cadiz 20%, draw 62%, Sporting Gijon 18%78' · 0–0 · Cadiz 19%, draw 64%, Sporting Gijon 17%79' · 0–0 · Cadiz 19%, draw 65%, Sporting Gijon 16%80' · 0–0 · Cadiz 18%, draw 66%, Sporting Gijon 16%81' · 0–0 · Cadiz 17%, draw 68%, Sporting Gijon 15%83' · 0–0 · Cadiz 16%, draw 70%, Sporting Gijon 14%84' · 0–0 · Cadiz 15%, draw 72%, Sporting Gijon 13%85' · 0–0 · Cadiz 14%, draw 74%, Sporting Gijon 12%86' · 0–0 · Cadiz 13%, draw 75%, Sporting Gijon 12%87' · 0–0 · Cadiz 12%, draw 77%, Sporting Gijon 11%88' · 0–1 · Cadiz 1%, draw 12%, Sporting Gijon 87%89' · 0–1 · Cadiz 1%, draw 11%, Sporting Gijon 88%90' · 0–1 · Cadiz 1%, draw 10%, Sporting Gijon 90%90+1' · 0–1 · Cadiz 0%, draw 8%, Sporting Gijon 91%90+2' · 0–1 · Cadiz 0%, draw 7%, Sporting Gijon 93%90+3' · 0–1 · Cadiz 0%, draw 6%, Sporting Gijon 94%90+4' · 0–1 · Cadiz 0%, draw 4%, Sporting Gijon 96%

Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 4% · 96%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Cadiz 40% to win: Sporting Gijon won.

  1. 32'Sporting Gijon:Manuel Rodríguez Paz 1864 +47
  2. 50'Cadiz:Sergio Arribas Prieto 1741 −1
  3. 54'Sporting Gijon:Jorge Sáenz 1852 +17
  4. 65'Cadiz:Marc-Olivier Doué 1625 0 for Aimen Moueffek 1786 −4
  5. 69'Sporting Gijon:Diego Matabuena Álvarez for Enol Prendes Ortiz 1502 +32
  6. 74'Cadiz:Borja Vazquez 1508 0 for Ibon Ignacio Sánchez Océn 1876 −10
  7. 74'Cadiz:Álvaro García Pascual 1627 −8* for Vladyslav Kopotun 1584 0
  8. 80'Sporting Gijon:Mamadou Loum 1727 −7* for Manuel Rodríguez Paz 1864 +47
  9. 80'Sporting Gijon:Pablo García 1743 +7 for Gaspar Campos 1807 +25
  10. 86'Cadiz:Damián Rodríguez Sousa 1839 0 for Antonio Cordero 1718 0
  11. 86'Cadiz:Efe Ugiagbe Aghama 1241 −8* for Jandro Orellana 1767 −4
  12. 87'Sporting Gijon:Pablo García 1743 +7
  13. 90+2'Sporting Gijon:Iker Martinez Martinez 1456 +1 for César Gelabert 1836 +12*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GRubén Yáñez1882+16
DGuille Rosas1939+40
DE. Gularte1758+15*
DJorge Sáenz1852+17
DAndrés Cuenca1967+36
MM. Rodriguez1864+47
MÁlex Corredera1936+38
MEnol Prendes1502+32
MCésar Gelabert1836+12*
MGaspar Campos1807+25
FA. Sarco1691+29
CN. Larcamón2033+17
Before kick-off: 40% · 28% · 32%(Cadiz · draw · Sporting Gijon)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–1 had 7%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Cadiz €811K, Sporting Gijon €908K.
  • Home advantage made Cadiz the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Cadiz

19th in Segunda División · 7 pts from 8

  • 3 OctWLeganes 1695
  • 26 SepDTenerife 1673
  • 19 SepLGirona 1702
  • 12 SepLLas Palmas 1701
  • 6 SepLAlmeria 1775

Sporting Gijon

8th in Segunda División · 13 pts from 8

  • 4 OctWCelta de Vigo II 1809
  • 27 SepLOviedo 1877
  • 19 SepWFC Andorra 1849
  • 13 SepLEldense 1842
  • 5 SepLGirona 1858

Season outlook

From the Segunda División simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Cadiz7 /852.40%1%9%13th
Sporting Gijon13 /865.52%23%<1%6th
Cadiz
Sporting Gijon

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Segunda División

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Javi Castro
Javi Castro

Cadiz · +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1895

Álex Corredera
Álex Corredera

Sporting Gijon · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1898

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Albert Celades López

Coach DNA: low-block

Nicolás Ricardo Larcamón

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Cadiz: balanced profile (how Albert Celades López plays) · Sporting Gijon: balanced profile (how Nicolás Ricardo Larcamón plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.