Segunda División · Regular Season - 13
Cadiz vs Oviedo
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:15 UTC · JP Financial Estadio, Cadiz
Cadiz host Oviedo on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Cadiz 36%, draw 29%, Oviedo 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cadiz €706K, Oviedo €1.8M.
- Home advantage makes Cadiz the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
- Segunda División: Carlos Domínguez is the highest-rated defender (2141).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Cadiz goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Cadiz 1728 · Oviedo 1831
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cadiz · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.5 (Good) · Elo 1573
Oviedo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1906
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cadiz
20th in Segunda División · 7 pts from 10
- 18 OctLGranada CF Spain Segunda Division1698
- 11 OctLSporting Gijon Spain Segunda Division1759
- 3 OctWLeganes Spain Segunda Division1695
- 26 SepDTenerife Spain Segunda Division1673
- 19 SepLGirona Spain Segunda Division1702
Oviedo
9th in Segunda División · 17 pts from 10
- 18 OctWAD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda Division1856
- 12 OctWEibar Spain Segunda Division1813
- 2 OctLEldense Spain Segunda Division1839
- 27 SepWSporting Gijon Spain Segunda Division1822
- 20 SepLSabadell Spain Segunda Division1796
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cadiz | 7 /10 | 48.1 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 19th |
| Oviedo | 17 /10 | 66.1 | 3% | 21% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-block
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cadiz: balanced profile (how Celades plays) · Oviedo: balanced profile (how Julián Calero plays)