Segunda División · Regular Season - 11
Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 15:15 UTC · JP Financial Estadio, Cadiz
Cadiz host AD Ceuta FC on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Cadiz 54%, draw 26%, AD Ceuta FC 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cadiz €728K, AD Ceuta FC €422K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Cadiz goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Cadiz 1726 · AD Ceuta FC 1618
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cadiz · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.5 (Good) · Elo 1573
AD Ceuta FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1762
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cadiz
20th in Segunda División · 7 pts from 10
- 18 OctLGranada CF Spain Segunda Division1698
- 11 OctLSporting Gijon Spain Segunda Division1759
- 3 OctWLeganes Spain Segunda Division1695
- 26 SepDTenerife Spain Segunda Division1673
- 19 SepLGirona Spain Segunda Division1702
AD Ceuta FC
21st in Segunda División · 5 pts from 10
- 18 OctLOviedo Spain Segunda Division1646
- 10 OctLSabadell Spain Segunda Division1558
- 4 OctDCastellón Spain Segunda Division1559
- 26 SepWReal Sociedad II Spain Segunda Division1568
- 20 SepDValladolid Spain Segunda Division1551
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cadiz | 7 /10 | 48.1 | 0% | <1% | 19% | 19th |
| AD Ceuta FC | 5 /10 | 37.5 | 0% | 0% | 78% | 22nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-block
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cadiz: balanced profile (how Albert Celades López plays) · AD Ceuta FC: balanced profile (how José Juan Romero Gil plays)