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Primera Nacional · Regular Season - 33

CA Estudiantes 2–0 Deportivo Moron

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC · Estadio Ciudad de Caseros, Buenos Aires

CA Estudiantes crestCA EstudiantesTeam 1506
2–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Deportivo Moron crestDeportivo MoronTeam 1507

We gave CA Estudiantes 43% to win: they did.

  1. 29'Deportivo Moron:E. Iniguez –
  2. 37'Deportivo Moron:M. Bittolo –
  3. 53'CA Estudiantes:F. Ardiles –
  4. 54'Deportivo Moron:G. Berterame – for E. Franco –
  5. 54'Deportivo Moron:J. Esquivel – for M. Gonzalez –
  6. 68'CA Estudiantes:M. Nunez – for E. Acosta –
  7. 68'CA Estudiantes:L. Silva – for I. Vera –
  8. 70'Deportivo Moron:E. Contreras – for E. Iniguez –
  9. 70'Deportivo Moron:F. Toloza – for M. Bittolo –
  10. 76'CA Estudiantes:F. Ardiles –
  11. 79'CA Estudiantes:T. Squie – for F. Quinteros –
  12. 79'CA Estudiantes:F. Dure – for F. Ardiles –
  13. 83'CA Estudiantes:S. Camacho – for F. Sena –
  14. 84'CA Estudiantes:L. Silva –
  15. 85'Deportivo Moron:L. Cardozo – for I. M. Vaquero –
  16. 87'CA Estudiantes:M. Nunez –
  17. 88'CA Estudiantes:M. Nunez –
  18. 89'Deportivo Moron:F. Fagundez –
  19. 89'CA Estudiantes:S. Camacho –
Before kick-off (provisional): 43% · 28% · 29%(CA Estudiantes · draw · Deportivo Moron)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–0 had 8%.

  • Average value of the expected XI: CA Estudiantes €174K, Deportivo Moron €213K.
  • Home advantage made CA Estudiantes the favourite: it added 7 points to their win chance.
  • J. Lungarzo, N. Caro, F. Ardiles, J. Correa and E. Almirón (CA Estudiantes) had not played for over 90 days.
  • J. Salvá, M. Bíttolo, B. Salvareschi, J. Olivares, F. Fagundez, M. Burruchaga, G. Berterame, E. Contreras, J. Livera and S. Kubiszyn (Deportivo Moron) had not played for over 90 days.
  • CA Estudiantes were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

CA Estudiantes

7th in Primera Nacional · 45 pts from 32

  • 26 SepWSan Miguel 1469
  • 11 JulWAtletico Mitre 1491
  • 5 JulDRacing Cordoba 1507
  • 6 JunDLos Andes 1519
  • 30 MayWGodoy Cruz 1506

Deportivo Moron

2nd in Primera Nacional · 58 pts from 32

  • 11 JulDDeportivo Madryn 1521
  • 4 JulLDefensores De Belgrano 1545
  • 7 JunWAlmirante Brown 1526
  • 31 MayWAtletico Mitre 1500
  • 24 MayWCA Estudiantes 1492

Season outlook

From the Primera Nacional simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
CA Estudiantes45 /3250.60%0%0%15th
Deportivo Moron58 /3263.815%75%0%2nd
CA Estudiantes
Deportivo Moron

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 36th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Primera Nacional

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Alfredo Daniel Grelak

Coach DNA: –

Walter Nicolás Otta

Coach DNA: –