Super League · Regular Season - 27
Buxoro vs Nasaf
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Buxoro FA Stadioni, Bukhara
Buxoro host Nasaf on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Buxoro 32%, draw 29%, Nasaf 39%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Buxoro €157K, Nasaf €286K.
- U. Khamroyev, V. Rodić, B. Mlađović, S. Djurabekov, K. Todorov, K. Mukhtarov, J. Ruziev, R. Hayrullayev, A. Joraboev, Temur Mamasidiqov and K. Mukhtorov (Buxoro) have not played for over 90 days.
- Q. Xushvaqtov, Z. Abdirakhmatov, M. Rakhmatov and S. Mukhitdinov (Nasaf) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Buxoro goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Buxoro 1345 · Nasaf 1467
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Nasaf · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1557
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Buxoro
4th in Super League · 41 pts from 25
- 16 JulLNeftchi Uzbekistan Super League1328
- 27 AprWMash'al Uzbekistan Super League1345
- 22 AprLPakhtakor Uzbekistan Super League1374
- 17 AprLOlmaliq Uzbekistan Super League1400
- 13 AprDNasaf Uzbekistan Super League1396
Nasaf
7th in Super League · 38 pts from 24
- 14 OctLAl Wahda FC AFC Cup1526
- 28 AprDPakhtakor Uzbekistan Super League1458
- 23 AprLLokomotiv Uzbekistan Super League1484
- 18 AprLNeftchi Uzbekistan Super League1471
- 13 AprDBuxoro Uzbekistan Super League1476
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buxoro | 41 /25 | 47.4 | 0% | 22% | 0% | 6th |
| Nasaf | 38 /24 | 47.9 | 0% | 36% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –