1. Lig · Regular Season - 15
Bursaspor vs Sivasspor
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Timsah Park, Bursa
Bursaspor host Sivasspor on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bursaspor 61%, draw 23%, Sivasspor 16%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bursaspor €908K, Sivasspor €352K.
- 1. Lig: K. Ịheanachọ is the highest-rated forward (1997).
- Bursaspor are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bursaspor goals first.
- 2–011%
- 1–011%
- 1–111%
- 2–110%
- 3–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Bursaspor 1826 · Sivasspor 1609
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bursaspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1997
Sivasspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1626
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bursaspor
1st in 1. Lig · 32 pts from 14
- 6 NovDAntalyaspor Turkey 1 Lig1838
- 31 OctWBandırmaspor Turkey 1 Lig1809
- 25 OctWKeçiörengücü Turkey 1 Lig1835
- 19 OctWPendikspor Turkey 1 Lig1783
- 15 OctWMuğlaspor Turkey 1 Lig1770
Sivasspor
18th in 1. Lig · 13 pts from 14
- 7 NovLVanspor FK Turkey 1 Lig1600
- 1 NovLBoluspor Turkey 1 Lig1627
- 24 OctLÜmraniyespor Turkey 1 Lig1597
- 17 OctDSarıyer Turkey 1 Lig1567
- 13 OctDBandırmaspor Turkey 1 Lig1572
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor | 32 /14 | 76.2 | 58% | 98% | 0% | 1st |
| Sivasspor | 13 /14 | 42.9 | 0% | 0% | 21% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct