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1. Lig · Regular Season - 9

Bursaspor 1–2 Mardin 1969

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu, Bursa

Bursaspor crestBursasporTeam 1724
1–2
Full time
HT 0–1
Mardin 1969 crestMardin 1969Team 1623

Match story

Bursaspor · draw · Mardin 1969

Before kick-off: 52% · 26% · 22%

Live chances: Bursaspor 0%, draw 0%, Mardin 1969 100% at 90+10'1' · 0–0 · Bursaspor 52%, draw 26%, Mardin 1969 22%2' · 0–0 · Bursaspor 52%, draw 26%, Mardin 1969 22%3' · 0–0 · Bursaspor 51%, draw 26%, Mardin 1969 22%4' · 0–0 · Bursaspor 51%, draw 27%, Mardin 1969 22%5' · 0–0 · Bursaspor 51%, draw 27%, Mardin 1969 22%6' · 0–0 · Bursaspor 51%, draw 27%, Mardin 1969 22%7' · 0–0 · Bursaspor 51%, draw 27%, Mardin 1969 22%8' · 0–0 · Bursaspor 51%, draw 27%, Mardin 1969 22%9' · 0–0 · Bursaspor 50%, draw 27%, Mardin 1969 22%10' · 0–0 · Bursaspor 50%, draw 27%, Mardin 1969 22%11' · 0–0 · Bursaspor 50%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 22%12' · 0–0 · Bursaspor 50%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 22%13' · 0–0 · Bursaspor 50%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 22%14' · 0–0 · Bursaspor 49%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 22%16' · 0–0 · Bursaspor 49%, draw 29%, Mardin 1969 22%17' · 0–0 · Bursaspor 49%, draw 29%, Mardin 1969 22%18' · 0–0 · Bursaspor 49%, draw 29%, Mardin 1969 22%19' · 0–0 · Bursaspor 48%, draw 29%, Mardin 1969 22%20' · 0–0 · Bursaspor 48%, draw 29%, Mardin 1969 22%21' · 0–0 · Bursaspor 48%, draw 30%, Mardin 1969 22%22' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 27%, draw 27%, Mardin 1969 46%23' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 27%, draw 27%, Mardin 1969 46%24' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 27%, draw 27%, Mardin 1969 46%25' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 26%, draw 27%, Mardin 1969 46%26' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 26%, draw 27%, Mardin 1969 47%27' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 26%, draw 27%, Mardin 1969 47%28' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 25%, draw 27%, Mardin 1969 47%29' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 25%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 47%30' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 25%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 48%31' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 24%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 48%32' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 24%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 48%33' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 24%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 49%34' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 23%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 49%35' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 23%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 49%36' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 23%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 49%37' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 22%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 50%38' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 22%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 50%39' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 22%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 50%40' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 21%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 51%41' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 21%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 51%42' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 20%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 51%43' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 20%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 52%44' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 20%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 52%45' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 19%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 52%45+1' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 19%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 53%45+2' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 18%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 53%HT · 0–1 · Bursaspor 18%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 54%46' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 18%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 54%47' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 17%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 54%48' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 17%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 55%49' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 17%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 55%50' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 16%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 56%51' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 16%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 56%52' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 15%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 57%53' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 15%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 57%54' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 14%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 58%55' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 14%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 58%56' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 13%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 59%57' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 13%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 59%58' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 12%, draw 28%, Mardin 1969 60%59' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 12%, draw 27%, Mardin 1969 61%60' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 11%, draw 27%, Mardin 1969 61%61' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 11%, draw 27%, Mardin 1969 62%62' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 11%, draw 27%, Mardin 1969 62%63' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 10%, draw 27%, Mardin 1969 63%64' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 10%, draw 27%, Mardin 1969 64%65' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 9%, draw 26%, Mardin 1969 64%66' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 9%, draw 26%, Mardin 1969 65%67' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 9%, draw 26%, Mardin 1969 66%68' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 8%, draw 26%, Mardin 1969 66%69' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 8%, draw 25%, Mardin 1969 67%70' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 7%, draw 25%, Mardin 1969 68%71' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 7%, draw 25%, Mardin 1969 68%72' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 7%, draw 24%, Mardin 1969 69%73' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 6%, draw 24%, Mardin 1969 70%74' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 6%, draw 23%, Mardin 1969 71%75' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 5%, draw 23%, Mardin 1969 72%76' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 5%, draw 23%, Mardin 1969 72%77' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 5%, draw 22%, Mardin 1969 73%78' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 4%, draw 21%, Mardin 1969 74%79' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 4%, draw 21%, Mardin 1969 75%80' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 4%, draw 20%, Mardin 1969 76%81' · 0–1 · Bursaspor 3%, draw 20%, Mardin 1969 77%82' · 1–1 · Bursaspor 19%, draw 69%, Mardin 1969 12%83' · 1–1 · Bursaspor 18%, draw 70%, Mardin 1969 12%84' · 1–1 · Bursaspor 17%, draw 72%, Mardin 1969 11%85' · 1–1 · Bursaspor 16%, draw 73%, Mardin 1969 11%86' · 1–1 · Bursaspor 15%, draw 75%, Mardin 1969 10%87' · 1–1 · Bursaspor 14%, draw 77%, Mardin 1969 9%88' · 1–1 · Bursaspor 13%, draw 79%, Mardin 1969 9%89' · 1–1 · Bursaspor 12%, draw 81%, Mardin 1969 8%90' · 1–1 · Bursaspor 10%, draw 83%, Mardin 1969 7%90+1' · 1–1 · Bursaspor 9%, draw 85%, Mardin 1969 6%90+2' · 1–1 · Bursaspor 7%, draw 88%, Mardin 1969 5%90+3' · 1–1 · Bursaspor 6%, draw 90%, Mardin 1969 4%90+4' · 1–1 · Bursaspor 4%, draw 93%, Mardin 1969 3%90+5' · 1–2 · Bursaspor 0%, draw 3%, Mardin 1969 97%90+6' · 1–2 · Bursaspor 0%, draw 1%, Mardin 1969 99%90+7' · 1–2 · Bursaspor 0%, draw 0%, Mardin 1969 100%90+8' · 1–2 · Bursaspor 0%, draw 0%, Mardin 1969 100%90+9' · 1–2 · Bursaspor 0%, draw 0%, Mardin 1969 100%90+10' · 1–2 · Bursaspor 0%, draw 0%, Mardin 1969 100%

Last reading, 90+10': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Bursaspor 52% to win: Mardin 1969 won.

  1. 20'Mardin 1969:Kerim Alıcı 1727 +10*
  2. 21'Mardin 1969:Tonio Teklić 1753 +68*
  3. 25'Bursaspor:Zeki Yavru 1907 −22*
  4. 38'Bursaspor:Ivan Saranic 1401 −8*
  5. 45'Bursaspor:Eyüp Akcan 1615 −8* for Lewis Baker 1817 −11*
  6. 45'Bursaspor:Baran Başyiğit 1099 −8* for Emir Kaan Gultekin 1692 −8*
  7. 45'Bursaspor:Hüseyin Maldar 1582 −8* for Ivan Saranic 1401 −8*
  8. 47'Bursaspor:Alperen Babacan 1822 −9*
  9. 49'Mardin 1969:Uğur Adem Gezer 1775 +12*
  10. 62'Mardin 1969:Tonio Teklić 1753 +68*
  11. 64'Mardin 1969:Eray Korkmaz 1390 +11* for Kerim Alıcı 1727 +10*
  12. 72'Mardin 1969:Berkay Dogan 1107 +13* for M. Şengül 1304 +55*
  13. 72'Mardin 1969:O. Yıldırım for Olarenwaju Kayode 1766 +7*
  14. 80'Bursaspor:Ertuğrul Ersoy 1773 −9* for B. Gök 1608 −12*
  15. 81'Bursaspor:Kelechi Iheanacho 1959 −45*
  16. 85'Mardin 1969:Emre Taşdemir 1644 −8* for Tonio Teklić 1753 +68*
  17. 85'Mardin 1969:Mallik Wilks 1762 −7* for Đorđe Denić 1781 +11*
  18. 87'Bursaspor:M. Er
  19. 90+3'Mardin 1969:Baba Alhassan 1757 +20*
  20. 90+4'Mardin 1969:Zdravko Dimitrov 1889 +39 assist Emre Taşdemir 1644 −8*
  21. 90+5'Mardin 1969:Zdravko Dimitrov 1889 +39
  22. 90+7'Mardin 1969:Baba Alhassan 1757 +20*
  23. 90+9'Bursaspor:Kerem Matışlı –

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-1-4-1
GK. Matisli1496−8*
DZ. Yavru1907−22*
DA. Babacan1822−9*
DEmirhan Başyiğit1713−8*
DB. Gök1608−12*
ML. Baker1817−11*
MJ. Elitim1944−40*
ME. Gültekin1692−8*
MI. Šaranić1401−8*
MA. Boutrah1653−8*
FK. Ịheanachọ1959−45*
CM. Er1783−8*
GE. Kardeşler1869+35*
DK. Alıcı1727+10*
DM. Şengül1304+55*
DU. Gezer1775+12*
DN. Yardımcı1503+47*
MA. Kabak1731+20*
MB. Alhassan1757+20*
MT. Teklić1753+68*
MĐ. Denić1781+11*
MZ. Dimitrov1889+39
FO. Kayode1766+7*
CAhmet Cingoz1346
Before kick-off: 52% · 26% · 22%(Bursaspor · draw · Mardin 1969)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 1–2 had 6%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Bursaspor €865K, Mardin 1969 €517K.
  • 1. Lig: K. Ịheanachọ was the highest-rated forward (2004).
  • Bursaspor were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Bursaspor

2nd in 1. Lig · 19 pts from 8

  • 19 SepWBatman Petrolspor 1759
  • 13 SepDEsenler Erokspor 1767
  • 7 SepWManisa F.K. 1741
  • 3 SepWİstanbulspor 1734
  • 9 AugWBodrum FK 1631

Mardin 1969

9th in 1. Lig · 12 pts from 8

  • 20 SepLKayserispor 1681
  • 13 SepLIğdır FK 1605
  • 7 SepWBodrum FK 1622
  • 2 SepDSivasspor 1575
  • 29 AugDVanspor FK 1600

Season outlook

From the 1. Lig simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Bursaspor19 /870.130%87%0%2nd
Mardin 196912 /850.8<1%6%4%11th
Bursaspor
Mardin 1969

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 1. Lig

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Elitim
J. Elitim

Bursaspor · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1984

Z. Dimitrov
Z. Dimitrov

Mardin 1969 · +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1849

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Mustafa Er

Coach DNA: –

Ahmet Cingoz

Coach DNA: –

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.