Championship · Regular Season - 13
Burnley vs Portsmouth
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Turf Moor, Burnley
Burnley host Portsmouth on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Burnley 54%, draw 25%, Portsmouth 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Burnley €6.2M, Portsmouth €1.5M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Burnley goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.1 pts
Team Elo: Burnley 2017 · Portsmouth 1864
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Burnley · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1975
Portsmouth · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1978
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Burnley
22nd in Championship · 8 pts from 11
- 16 OctLWolves England Championship1975
- 13 OctDCharlton England Championship1996
- 10 OctWWatford England Championship2015
- 19 SepDDerby England Championship2027
- 12 SepLSwansea England Championship1963
Portsmouth
13th in Championship · 14 pts from 10
- 17 OctWNorwich England Championship1801
- 14 OctWSheffield Utd England Championship1748
- 11 OctLSouthampton England Championship1800
- 19 SepDBlackburn England Championship1782
- 12 SepDCharlton England Championship1838
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 8 /11 | 59.5 | 0% | 2% | 5% | 13th |
| Portsmouth | 14 /10 | 53.5 | 0% | <1% | 23% | 22nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Burnley: balanced profile (how Nicky Hayen plays) · Portsmouth: balanced profile (how John Michael Lewis Mousinho plays)