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Championship · Regular Season - 10

Burnley 2–2 Charlton

Tue 13 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Turf Moor, Burnley

Burnley crestBurnleyTeam 1965
2–2
Full time
HT 1–0
Charlton crestCharltonTeam 1892

Match story

Burnley · draw · Charlton

Before kick-off: 47% · 28% · 25%

Live chances: Burnley 0%, draw 100%, Charlton 0% at 90+7'2' · 0–0 · Burnley 47%, draw 28%, Charlton 25%3' · 0–0 · Burnley 47%, draw 28%, Charlton 25%4' · 0–0 · Burnley 47%, draw 28%, Charlton 25%5' · 0–0 · Burnley 47%, draw 28%, Charlton 25%6' · 0–0 · Burnley 47%, draw 29%, Charlton 25%7' · 0–0 · Burnley 47%, draw 29%, Charlton 25%8' · 0–0 · Burnley 46%, draw 29%, Charlton 25%9' · 0–0 · Burnley 46%, draw 29%, Charlton 25%10' · 0–0 · Burnley 46%, draw 29%, Charlton 25%11' · 0–0 · Burnley 46%, draw 29%, Charlton 25%12' · 0–0 · Burnley 46%, draw 30%, Charlton 25%13' · 0–0 · Burnley 46%, draw 30%, Charlton 25%14' · 0–0 · Burnley 45%, draw 30%, Charlton 25%15' · 0–0 · Burnley 45%, draw 30%, Charlton 25%16' · 0–0 · Burnley 45%, draw 30%, Charlton 25%17' · 0–0 · Burnley 45%, draw 31%, Charlton 25%18' · 0–0 · Burnley 45%, draw 31%, Charlton 25%19' · 0–0 · Burnley 44%, draw 31%, Charlton 25%20' · 0–0 · Burnley 44%, draw 31%, Charlton 25%21' · 0–0 · Burnley 44%, draw 31%, Charlton 25%22' · 0–0 · Burnley 44%, draw 32%, Charlton 25%23' · 0–0 · Burnley 44%, draw 32%, Charlton 25%24' · 0–0 · Burnley 44%, draw 32%, Charlton 25%25' · 0–0 · Burnley 43%, draw 32%, Charlton 25%26' · 0–0 · Burnley 43%, draw 32%, Charlton 24%27' · 0–0 · Burnley 43%, draw 33%, Charlton 24%28' · 0–0 · Burnley 43%, draw 33%, Charlton 24%29' · 0–0 · Burnley 43%, draw 33%, Charlton 24%30' · 0–0 · Burnley 42%, draw 33%, Charlton 24%31' · 0–0 · Burnley 42%, draw 34%, Charlton 24%32' · 0–0 · Burnley 42%, draw 34%, Charlton 24%33' · 0–0 · Burnley 42%, draw 34%, Charlton 24%34' · 0–0 · Burnley 41%, draw 34%, Charlton 24%35' · 0–0 · Burnley 41%, draw 35%, Charlton 24%36' · 0–0 · Burnley 41%, draw 35%, Charlton 24%37' · 1–0 · Burnley 75%, draw 18%, Charlton 7%38' · 1–0 · Burnley 75%, draw 18%, Charlton 7%39' · 1–0 · Burnley 75%, draw 18%, Charlton 6%40' · 1–0 · Burnley 75%, draw 18%, Charlton 6%41' · 1–0 · Burnley 75%, draw 18%, Charlton 6%42' · 1–0 · Burnley 75%, draw 18%, Charlton 6%43' · 1–0 · Burnley 75%, draw 18%, Charlton 6%44' · 1–0 · Burnley 76%, draw 18%, Charlton 6%45' · 1–0 · Burnley 76%, draw 18%, Charlton 6%45+1' · 1–0 · Burnley 76%, draw 18%, Charlton 6%45+2' · 1–0 · Burnley 76%, draw 18%, Charlton 6%HT · 1–0 · Burnley 76%, draw 18%, Charlton 6%46' · 1–0 · Burnley 76%, draw 18%, Charlton 6%47' · 1–0 · Burnley 76%, draw 18%, Charlton 5%48' · 1–0 · Burnley 76%, draw 18%, Charlton 5%49' · 1–0 · Burnley 76%, draw 18%, Charlton 5%50' · 1–0 · Burnley 77%, draw 18%, Charlton 5%51' · 1–1 · Burnley 36%, draw 42%, Charlton 22%52' · 1–1 · Burnley 35%, draw 43%, Charlton 22%53' · 1–1 · Burnley 35%, draw 43%, Charlton 22%54' · 1–1 · Burnley 34%, draw 44%, Charlton 22%55' · 1–1 · Burnley 34%, draw 44%, Charlton 22%56' · 1–1 · Burnley 33%, draw 45%, Charlton 21%57' · 2–1 · Burnley 78%, draw 18%, Charlton 4%58' · 2–1 · Burnley 78%, draw 18%, Charlton 4%59' · 2–1 · Burnley 78%, draw 18%, Charlton 4%60' · 2–1 · Burnley 79%, draw 17%, Charlton 4%61' · 2–1 · Burnley 79%, draw 17%, Charlton 4%62' · 2–1 · Burnley 79%, draw 17%, Charlton 4%63' · 2–1 · Burnley 79%, draw 17%, Charlton 3%64' · 2–1 · Burnley 80%, draw 17%, Charlton 3%65' · 2–1 · Burnley 80%, draw 17%, Charlton 3%66' · 2–1 · Burnley 80%, draw 17%, Charlton 3%67' · 2–1 · Burnley 81%, draw 16%, Charlton 3%68' · 2–1 · Burnley 81%, draw 16%, Charlton 3%69' · 2–1 · Burnley 81%, draw 16%, Charlton 3%70' · 2–1 · Burnley 82%, draw 16%, Charlton 3%71' · 2–1 · Burnley 82%, draw 16%, Charlton 2%72' · 2–1 · Burnley 82%, draw 15%, Charlton 2%73' · 2–1 · Burnley 83%, draw 15%, Charlton 2%74' · 2–1 · Burnley 83%, draw 15%, Charlton 2%75' · 2–1 · Burnley 84%, draw 15%, Charlton 2%76' · 2–1 · Burnley 84%, draw 14%, Charlton 2%77' · 2–1 · Burnley 85%, draw 14%, Charlton 2%78' · 2–1 · Burnley 85%, draw 13%, Charlton 2%79' · 2–1 · Burnley 86%, draw 13%, Charlton 1%80' · 2–1 · Burnley 86%, draw 13%, Charlton 1%81' · 2–1 · Burnley 87%, draw 12%, Charlton 1%82' · 2–1 · Burnley 87%, draw 12%, Charlton 1%83' · 2–1 · Burnley 88%, draw 11%, Charlton 1%84' · 2–1 · Burnley 88%, draw 11%, Charlton 1%85' · 2–1 · Burnley 89%, draw 10%, Charlton 1%86' · 2–1 · Burnley 90%, draw 10%, Charlton 1%87' · 2–1 · Burnley 90%, draw 9%, Charlton 1%88' · 2–1 · Burnley 91%, draw 8%, Charlton 0%89' · 2–1 · Burnley 92%, draw 8%, Charlton 0%90' · 2–1 · Burnley 93%, draw 7%, Charlton 0%90+1' · 2–1 · Burnley 94%, draw 6%, Charlton 0%90+2' · 2–1 · Burnley 95%, draw 5%, Charlton 0%90+3' · 2–1 · Burnley 96%, draw 4%, Charlton 0%90+4' · 2–1 · Burnley 97%, draw 3%, Charlton 0%90+5' · 2–1 · Burnley 98%, draw 2%, Charlton 0%90+6' · 2–1 · Burnley 99%, draw 1%, Charlton 0%90+7' · 2–2 · Burnley 0%, draw 100%, Charlton 0%

Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 100% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Burnley 47% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 36'Burnley:Jacob Bruun Larsen 1976 −1 assist Josh Laurent 1945 −3
  2. 50'Charlton:Kayne Ramsay 1938 +12 assist Lloyd Jones 1924 +10
  3. 57'Burnley:Largie Ramazani 2047 −1 assist Igor Júlio 2204 −4
  4. 62'Charlton:Conor Coventry 1983 +3
  5. 66'Burnley:Igor Júlio 2204 −4
  6. 71'Burnley:Armando Broja 1920 0 for Jamie Vardy 1626 −14
  7. 71'Burnley:Marcus Edwards 2050 −1 for Jacob Bruun Larsen 1976 −1
  8. 74'Charlton:Micah Mbick 1671 +2 for Miles Leaburn 1872 +5
  9. 74'Charlton:Harvey Knibbs 1794 +1 for Dan McNamara 1956 +3
  10. 75'Charlton:Ivan Mesik 1831 +3 for Amari Bell 1867 −7*
  11. 75'Charlton:Charlie Kelman 1868 +1 for Oliver Skipp 2001 +2
  12. 80'Burnley:Andréas Hountondji 1609 −8* for Largie Ramazani 2047 −1
  13. 86'Charlton:Millenic Alli 1862 0 for Tyreece Campbell 1848 +6
  14. 90'Burnley:Hjalmar Ekdal 1888 −8* for Anel Ahmedhodzic 2102 −2
  15. 90+4'Burnley:Max Alleyne 1976 0
  16. 90+6'Charlton:Ivan Mesik 1831 +3

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GG. Coudert19670
DK. Walker1858−9
DA. Ahmedhodžić2102−2
DIgor2204−4
DLucas Pires2106−2
MMax Alleyne19760
MR. Hatate2092−3
ML. Ramazani2047−1
MJ. Laurent1945−3
MJ. Bruun Larsen1976−1
FJ. Vardy1626−14
CN. Hayen2088−2
GA. Okonkwo1975+4
DD. McNamara1956+3
DL. Jones1924+10
DBilly Dawson Koumetio1690+9
DA. Bell1867−7*
MC. Coventry1983+3
MO. Skipp2001+2
MK. Ahearne-Grant1893+4
MK. Ramsay1938+12
MT. Campbell1848+6
FM. Leaburn1872+5
CN. Jones1911+9
Before kick-off: 47% · 28% · 25%(Burnley · draw · Charlton)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–2 had 5%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Burnley €5.5M, Charlton €2.5M.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Burnley

22nd in Championship · 7 pts from 9

  • 10 OctWWatford 2015
  • 19 SepDDerby 2027
  • 12 SepLSwansea 1963
  • 8 SepDWrexham 1962
  • 5 SepLBristol City 1906

Charlton

12th in Championship · 13 pts from 9

  • 10 OctDBristol City 1887
  • 19 SepLCardiff 1914
  • 12 SepDPortsmouth 1916
  • 9 SepDQPR 1920
  • 5 SepLStoke City 1887

Season outlook

From the Championship simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Burnley7 /962.8<1%6%3%12th
Charlton13 /955.70%1%15%20th
Burnley
Charlton

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Championship

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Vardy
J. Vardy

Burnley · +1.3 (Elite) · Elo 1640

L. Jones
L. Jones

Charlton · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1914

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Nicky Hayen

Coach DNA: possession-based · creative

Nathan Jason Jones

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Burnley: balanced profile (how Nicky Hayen plays) · Charlton: balanced profile (how Nathan Jason Jones plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.