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Segunda División · Regular Season - 9

Burgos 0–1 Granada CF

Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 14:15 UTC · Municipal El Plantio, Burgos

Burgos crestBurgosTeam 1773
0–1
Full time
HT 0–1
Granada CF crestGranada CFTeam 1732

Match story

Burgos · draw · Granada CF

Before kick-off: 48% · 28% · 24%

Live chances: Burgos 0%, draw 0%, Granada CF 100% at 90+7'1' · 0–0 · Burgos 48%, draw 28%, Granada CF 24%2' · 0–0 · Burgos 48%, draw 28%, Granada CF 24%3' · 0–0 · Burgos 47%, draw 28%, Granada CF 24%4' · 0–0 · Burgos 47%, draw 28%, Granada CF 24%5' · 0–0 · Burgos 47%, draw 28%, Granada CF 24%6' · 0–0 · Burgos 47%, draw 29%, Granada CF 24%7' · 0–0 · Burgos 47%, draw 29%, Granada CF 24%8' · 0–0 · Burgos 47%, draw 29%, Granada CF 24%9' · 0–0 · Burgos 47%, draw 29%, Granada CF 24%10' · 0–0 · Burgos 46%, draw 29%, Granada CF 24%11' · 0–0 · Burgos 46%, draw 29%, Granada CF 24%12' · 0–0 · Burgos 46%, draw 30%, Granada CF 24%13' · 0–0 · Burgos 46%, draw 30%, Granada CF 24%14' · 0–0 · Burgos 46%, draw 30%, Granada CF 24%15' · 0–0 · Burgos 45%, draw 30%, Granada CF 24%16' · 0–0 · Burgos 45%, draw 30%, Granada CF 24%17' · 0–0 · Burgos 45%, draw 31%, Granada CF 24%18' · 0–0 · Burgos 45%, draw 31%, Granada CF 24%19' · 0–0 · Burgos 45%, draw 31%, Granada CF 24%20' · 0–0 · Burgos 45%, draw 31%, Granada CF 24%21' · 0–0 · Burgos 44%, draw 31%, Granada CF 24%22' · 0–0 · Burgos 44%, draw 32%, Granada CF 24%23' · 0–0 · Burgos 44%, draw 32%, Granada CF 24%24' · 0–0 · Burgos 44%, draw 32%, Granada CF 24%25' · 0–0 · Burgos 44%, draw 32%, Granada CF 24%26' · 0–1 · Burgos 23%, draw 27%, Granada CF 50%27' · 0–1 · Burgos 22%, draw 27%, Granada CF 50%28' · 0–1 · Burgos 22%, draw 28%, Granada CF 50%29' · 0–1 · Burgos 22%, draw 28%, Granada CF 51%30' · 0–1 · Burgos 22%, draw 28%, Granada CF 51%31' · 0–1 · Burgos 21%, draw 28%, Granada CF 51%32' · 0–1 · Burgos 21%, draw 28%, Granada CF 51%33' · 0–1 · Burgos 21%, draw 28%, Granada CF 52%34' · 0–1 · Burgos 20%, draw 28%, Granada CF 52%35' · 0–1 · Burgos 20%, draw 28%, Granada CF 52%36' · 0–1 · Burgos 20%, draw 28%, Granada CF 52%37' · 0–1 · Burgos 19%, draw 28%, Granada CF 53%38' · 0–1 · Burgos 19%, draw 28%, Granada CF 53%39' · 0–1 · Burgos 19%, draw 28%, Granada CF 53%40' · 0–1 · Burgos 18%, draw 28%, Granada CF 54%41' · 0–1 · Burgos 18%, draw 28%, Granada CF 54%42' · 0–1 · Burgos 18%, draw 28%, Granada CF 54%43' · 0–1 · Burgos 17%, draw 28%, Granada CF 55%44' · 0–1 · Burgos 17%, draw 28%, Granada CF 55%45' · 0–1 · Burgos 17%, draw 28%, Granada CF 55%45+1' · 0–1 · Burgos 16%, draw 28%, Granada CF 56%45+2' · 0–1 · Burgos 16%, draw 28%, Granada CF 56%HT · 0–1 · Burgos 16%, draw 28%, Granada CF 57%46' · 0–1 · Burgos 15%, draw 28%, Granada CF 57%47' · 0–1 · Burgos 15%, draw 28%, Granada CF 57%48' · 0–1 · Burgos 15%, draw 28%, Granada CF 57%49' · 0–1 · Burgos 14%, draw 28%, Granada CF 58%50' · 0–1 · Burgos 14%, draw 28%, Granada CF 58%51' · 0–1 · Burgos 14%, draw 28%, Granada CF 59%52' · 0–1 · Burgos 13%, draw 28%, Granada CF 59%53' · 0–1 · Burgos 13%, draw 27%, Granada CF 60%54' · 0–1 · Burgos 12%, draw 27%, Granada CF 60%55' · 0–1 · Burgos 12%, draw 27%, Granada CF 61%56' · 0–1 · Burgos 12%, draw 27%, Granada CF 61%57' · 1–1 · Burgos 33%, draw 46%, Granada CF 21%58' · 1–1 · Burgos 33%, draw 47%, Granada CF 21%59' · 0–1 · Burgos 10%, draw 27%, Granada CF 63%60' · 0–1 · Burgos 10%, draw 26%, Granada CF 64%61' · 0–1 · Burgos 10%, draw 26%, Granada CF 64%62' · 0–1 · Burgos 9%, draw 26%, Granada CF 65%63' · 0–1 · Burgos 9%, draw 26%, Granada CF 65%64' · 0–1 · Burgos 8%, draw 26%, Granada CF 66%65' · 0–1 · Burgos 8%, draw 25%, Granada CF 66%66' · 0–1 · Burgos 8%, draw 25%, Granada CF 67%67' · 0–1 · Burgos 7%, draw 25%, Granada CF 68%68' · 0–1 · Burgos 7%, draw 25%, Granada CF 68%69' · 0–1 · Burgos 7%, draw 24%, Granada CF 69%70' · 0–1 · Burgos 6%, draw 24%, Granada CF 70%71' · 0–1 · Burgos 6%, draw 24%, Granada CF 70%72' · 0–1 · Burgos 6%, draw 23%, Granada CF 71%73' · 0–1 · Burgos 5%, draw 23%, Granada CF 72%74' · 0–1 · Burgos 5%, draw 22%, Granada CF 73%75' · 0–1 · Burgos 5%, draw 22%, Granada CF 73%76' · 0–1 · Burgos 4%, draw 21%, Granada CF 74%77' · 0–1 · Burgos 4%, draw 21%, Granada CF 75%78' · 0–1 · Burgos 4%, draw 20%, Granada CF 76%79' · 0–1 · Burgos 3%, draw 20%, Granada CF 77%80' · 0–1 · Burgos 3%, draw 19%, Granada CF 78%81' · 0–1 · Burgos 3%, draw 18%, Granada CF 79%82' · 0–1 · Burgos 2%, draw 18%, Granada CF 80%83' · 0–1 · Burgos 2%, draw 17%, Granada CF 81%84' · 0–1 · Burgos 2%, draw 16%, Granada CF 82%85' · 0–1 · Burgos 2%, draw 15%, Granada CF 83%86' · 0–1 · Burgos 1%, draw 14%, Granada CF 84%87' · 0–1 · Burgos 1%, draw 14%, Granada CF 85%88' · 0–1 · Burgos 1%, draw 13%, Granada CF 86%89' · 0–1 · Burgos 1%, draw 11%, Granada CF 88%90' · 0–1 · Burgos 1%, draw 10%, Granada CF 89%90+1' · 0–1 · Burgos 0%, draw 9%, Granada CF 91%90+2' · 0–1 · Burgos 0%, draw 7%, Granada CF 92%90+3' · 0–1 · Burgos 0%, draw 6%, Granada CF 94%90+4' · 0–1 · Burgos 0%, draw 4%, Granada CF 96%90+5' · 0–1 · Burgos 0%, draw 3%, Granada CF 97%90+6' · 0–1 · Burgos 0%, draw 1%, Granada CF 99%90+7' · 0–1 · Burgos 0%, draw 0%, Granada CF 100%

Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Burgos 48% to win: Granada CF won.

  1. 17'Burgos:Alejandro Lizancos Saldaña 1878 −4
  2. 25'Granada CF:Pedro Alemañ Serna 1864 +41 assist Sergio Rodelas Pintor 1718 +39
  3. 30'Granada CF:Rubén Alcaraz 1811 +9
  4. 44'Burgos:Pablo Galdames 1670 −2
  5. 54'Burgos:David Gonzalez 1924 −10
  6. 55'Granada CF:Owen Emeka 1583 +7* for Mario Jiménez Gambín 1505 +23
  7. 55'Granada CF:Jorge Pascual 1793 +7 for Sergio Rodelas Pintor 1718 +39
  8. 64'Burgos:Alberto Dadie 1733 0 for Alejandro Lizancos Saldaña 1878 −4
  9. 64'Burgos:José Gragera 1828 −1 for Pablo Galdames 1670 −2
  10. 65'Burgos:Jon Karrikaburu 1811 0 for Curro 1790 −3
  11. 68'Granada CF:Baïla Diallo 1873 +1* for Diego Varela Pampín 1943 +19
  12. 68'Granada CF:Pau Casadesús 1371 +23* for Sergio López 1907 +23
  13. 77'Burgos:Santiago Lencina 1730 −8* for Álex Forés 1775 0
  14. 83'Burgos:Victor Mollejo 1698 0 for Unai Vencedor 1878 −6
  15. 83'Granada CF:Chinaza Onouha for José Manuel Arnáiz 1781 +14
  16. 90'Granada CF:Jorge Pascual 1793 +7

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations4-3-3
GAnder Cantero1885−7
DÁlex1878−4
DOier Luengo1821−5
DGrego1817−18*
DBrais Martínez15730
MDavid González1924−10
MP. Galdames1670−2
MUnai Vencedor1878−6
MJavi Llabrés17930
FÁlex Forés17750
FCurro Sánchez1790−3
CSergio Francisco1958−24
GAlberto Flores1812+50
DSergio López1907+23
DManu Lama1912+32
DJuan José Flores Castro1592+96
DDiego Pampín1943+19
MPedro Alemañ1864+41
MRubén Alcaraz1811+9
MGumbau1882+9
FSergio Rodelas1718+39
FJosé Arnáiz1781+14
FM. Gambin1505+23
CJosé Rojo Martín1847+29
Before kick-off: 48% · 28% · 24%(Burgos · draw · Granada CF)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–1 had 7%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Burgos €990K, Granada CF €781K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Burgos

8th in Segunda División · 14 pts from 8

  • 3 OctLAlmeria 1787
  • 27 SepWEldense 1836
  • 20 SepWLas Palmas 1763
  • 11 SepWAD Ceuta FC 1771
  • 6 SepDOviedo 1783

Granada CF

9th in Segunda División · 11 pts from 8

  • 4 OctWReal Sociedad II 1731
  • 26 SepLFC Andorra 1815
  • 20 SepLLeganes 1814
  • 12 SepDAlbacete 1822
  • 6 SepLEibar 1823

Season outlook

From the Segunda División simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Burgos14 /862.71%12%<1%9th
Granada CF11 /860.81%9%1%8th
Burgos
Granada CF

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Segunda División

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Grego
Grego

Burgos · +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1835

Gumbau
Gumbau

Granada CF · +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1874

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Sergio Francisco Ramos

Coach DNA: –

José Rojo Martín

Coach DNA: dribble-heavy

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Burgos: balanced profile (how Sergio Francisco Ramos plays) · Granada CF: balanced profile (how José Rojo Martín plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.