Segunda División · Regular Season - 13
Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Burgos host Celta de Vigo II on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Burgos 57%, draw 25%, Celta de Vigo II 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Burgos €971K, Celta de Vigo II €378K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Burgos goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Burgos 1805 · Celta de Vigo II 1664
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Burgos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1835
Celta de Vigo II · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Below) · Elo 1465
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Burgos
8th in Segunda División · 17 pts from 10
- 18 OctWSabadell Spain Segunda Division1804
- 12 OctLGranada CF Spain Segunda Division1811
- 3 OctLAlmeria Spain Segunda Division1787
- 27 SepWEldense Spain Segunda Division1836
- 20 SepWLas Palmas Spain Segunda Division1763
Celta de Vigo II
14th in Segunda División · 12 pts from 10
- 19 OctDTenerife Spain Segunda Division1628
- 10 OctWReal Sociedad II Spain Segunda Division1568
- 4 OctLSporting Gijon Spain Segunda Division1575
- 26 SepDSabadell Spain Segunda Division1603
- 20 SepLAlmeria Spain Segunda Division1603
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgos | 17 /10 | 62.9 | 1% | 11% | <1% | 9th |
| Celta de Vigo II | 12 /10 | 47.9 | 0% | 0% | 21% | 19th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –