Segunda División · Regular Season - 15
Burgos vs Albacete
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Burgos host Albacete on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Burgos 52%, draw 26%, Albacete 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Burgos €888K, Albacete €704K.
- All 11 of Albacete's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- Burgos are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Burgos goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–012%
- 2–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores42%
Team Elo: Burgos 1818 · Albacete 1727
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Burgos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1861
Albacete · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1906
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Burgos
3rd in Segunda División · 24 pts from 13
- 7 NovWCelta de Vigo II Spain Segunda Division1764
- 1 NovDCastellón Spain Segunda Division1819
- 29 OctWLaredo Spain Copa del Rey1559
- 26 OctWFC Andorra Spain Segunda Division1798
- 18 OctWSabadell Spain Segunda Division1790
Albacete
21st in Segunda División · 10 pts from 13
- 7 NovWLeganes Spain Segunda Division1671
- 31 OctWSabadell Spain Segunda Division1709
- 25 OctWEldense Spain Segunda Division1670
- 17 OctLSporting Gijon Spain Segunda Division1615
- 12 OctLValladolid Spain Segunda Division1670
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgos | 24 /13 | 66.2 | 3% | 23% | 0% | 7th |
| Albacete | 10 /13 | 47.7 | 0% | 0% | 19% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Burgos: balanced profile (how Sergio Francisco plays) · Albacete: direct (how Joseba Etxeberria plays)