Premier League · Regular Season - 10
Bukovyna vs Kryvbas KR
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Bukovyna Stadium, Chernivtsi
Bukovyna host Kryvbas KR on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bukovyna 52%, draw 26%, Kryvbas KR 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bukovyna €374K, Kryvbas KR €383K.
- All 11 of Bukovyna's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- Only 1 of Kryvbas KR's expected starters is past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bukovyna goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Bukovyna 1552 · Kryvbas KR 1428
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kryvbas KR · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1500
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bukovyna
11th in Premier League · 8 pts from 9
- 17 OctLKudrivka Ukraine Premier League1551
- 11 OctDPolessya Ukraine Premier League1557
- 19 SepLFC Kharkiv Ukraine Premier League1573
- 15 AugLKarpaty Ukraine Premier League1527
- 8 AugDObolon'-Brovar Ukraine Premier League1560
Kryvbas KR
16th in Premier League · 5 pts from 7
- 18 OctLLNZ Cherkasy Ukraine Premier League1464
- 18 SepLPolessya Ukraine Premier League1383
- 5 SepDKolos Kovalivka Ukraine Premier League1406
- 30 AugLChornomorets Ukraine Premier League1457
- 15 AugDLivyi Bereh Ukraine Premier League1464
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bukovyna | 8 /9 | 36.2 | 0% | <1% | 5% | 8th |
| Kryvbas KR | 5 /7 | 27.2 | 0% | 0% | 49% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –