NB I · Regular Season - 14
Budapest Honved vs Paks
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Bozsik Arena, Budapest
Budapest Honved host Paks on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (NB I); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Budapest Honved 23%, draw 27%, Paks 50%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Budapest Honved €204K, Paks €330K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Budapest Honved goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–29%
- 0–19%
- 0–28%
- 2–26%
- 0–06%
- Other scores49%
Team Elo: Budapest Honved 1403 · Paks 1591
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Budapest Honved · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.3 (Below) · Elo 1553
Paks · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1498
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Budapest Honved
8th in NB I · 14 pts from 12
- 24 OctLDebreceni VSC NB I1392
- 17 OctWNyiregyhaza NB I1346
- 11 OctDUjpest NB I1369
- 18 SepLPuskas Academy NB I1392
- 6 SepLGyori ETO FC NB I1395
Paks
5th in NB I · 20 pts from 13
- 25 OctWVasas NB I1570
- 17 OctLGyori ETO FC NB I1592
- 10 OctWMTK Budapest NB I1548
- 19 SepWKisvarda FC NB I1528
- 5 SepLDebreceni VSC NB I1546
Season outlook
From the NB I simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budapest Honved | 14 /12 | 31.6 | 0% | 0% | 76% | 12th |
| Paks | 20 /13 | 48.2 | <1% | 34% | 2% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –