NB I · Regular Season - 12
Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Bozsik Arena, Budapest
Budapest Honved host Kisvarda FC on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (NB I); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Budapest Honved 29%, draw 29%, Kisvarda FC 42%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Budapest Honved €195K, Kisvarda FC €320K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Budapest Honved goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Budapest Honved 1417 · Kisvarda FC 1509
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Budapest Honved · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1326
Kisvarda FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1524
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Budapest Honved
10th in NB I · 10 pts from 9
- 17 OctWNyiregyhaza NB I1348
- 11 OctDUjpest NB I1375
- 18 SepLPuskas Academy NB I1395
- 6 SepLGyori ETO FC NB I1398
- 29 AugWZalaegerszegi TE NB I1346
Kisvarda FC
9th in NB I · 11 pts from 10
- 18 OctDFerencvarosi TC NB I1505
- 10 OctDVasas NB I1509
- 19 SepLPaks NB I1528
- 5 SepWMTK Budapest NB I1509
- 30 AugDGyori ETO FC NB I1517
Season outlook
From the NB I simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budapest Honved | 10 /9 | 31.6 | 0% | <1% | 80% | 12th |
| Kisvarda FC | 11 /10 | 37.5 | 0% | 2% | 40% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –