K League 1 · Relegation Group - 35
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Pohang Steelers
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 07:30 UTC · Bucheon Stadium, Bucheon
Bucheon FC 1995 host Pohang Steelers on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (K League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bucheon FC 1995 36%, draw 29%, Pohang Steelers 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bucheon FC 1995 €236K, Pohang Steelers €300K.
- Home advantage makes Bucheon FC 1995 the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Bucheon FC 1995's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.0 over 180 days.
- Pohang Steelers' expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.4 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bucheon FC 1995 goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Bucheon FC 1995 1482 · Pohang Steelers 1547
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bucheon FC 1995 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Average) · Elo 1566
Pohang Steelers · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1548
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bucheon FC 1995
11th in K League 1 · 32 pts from 33
- 24 OctLGwangju FC K League 11486
- 17 OctLUlsan Hyundai FC K League 11457
- 9 OctLGangwon FC K League 11478
- 19 SepLGimcheon Sangmu FC K League 11516
- 12 SepDJeju United FC K League 11477
Pohang Steelers
9th in K League 1 · 42 pts from 33
- 24 OctDUlsan Hyundai FC K League 11480
- 18 OctDFC Anyang K League 11541
- 13 OctLJohor Darul Takzim FC AFC Champions League1547
- 9 OctLIncheon United K League 11551
- 20 SepWFC Seoul K League 11497
Season outlook
From the K League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucheon FC 1995 | 32 /33 | 37.8 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 11th |
| Pohang Steelers | 42 /33 | 49.1 | 0% | 2% | 5% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile