K League 1 · Regular Season - 33
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC · Bucheon Stadium, Bucheon
Bucheon FC 1995 host Gwangju FC on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (K League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bucheon FC 1995 42%, draw 29%, Gwangju FC 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bucheon FC 1995 €257K, Gwangju FC €235K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bucheon FC 1995 goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Bucheon FC 1995 1487 · Gwangju FC 1475
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bucheon FC 1995 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1582
Gwangju FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1536
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bucheon FC 1995
11th in K League 1 · 32 pts from 32
- 17 OctLUlsan Hyundai FC K League 11457
- 9 OctLGangwon FC K League 11478
- 19 SepLGimcheon Sangmu FC K League 11516
- 12 SepDJeju United FC K League 11477
- 8 SepLIncheon United K League 11510
Gwangju FC
12th in K League 1 · 18 pts from 32
- 18 OctLDaejeon Citizen K League 11497
- 11 OctWUlsan Hyundai FC K League 11470
- 20 SepDJeonbuk Motors K League 11439
- 13 SepDFC Anyang K League 11383
- 9 SepLJeju United FC K League 11404
Season outlook
From the K League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucheon FC 1995 | 32 /32 | 33.6 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 11th |
| Gwangju FC | 18 /32 | 19.2 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –