Primera A · Clausura - 15
Bucaramanga 1–1 America de Cali
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Américo Montanini, Bucaramanga
BucaramangaTeam 1705
America de CaliTeam 1752Match story
Bucaramanga · draw · America de CaliBefore kick-off: 42% · 30% · 28%
Last reading, 90+5': 2% · 95% · 3%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Luciano Pons 47'
- Yani Quintero 71'
We gave Bucaramanga 42% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Luciano Pons 1748 −106'
Bucaramanga:Luciano Pons 1748 −10 - Carlos Romaña 1778 −126'
Bucaramanga:Carlos Romaña 1778 −1 - 32'Tomás Ángel 1821 +1 for Daniel Valencia 1611 −1
America de Cali:Tomás Ángel 1821 +1 for Daniel Valencia 1611 −1 - 45+5'Josen Escobar 1818 +1
America de Cali:Josen Escobar 1818 +1 - Luciano Pons 1748 −10 assist Felix Charrupi 1794 −347'
Bucaramanga:Luciano Pons 1748 −10 assist Felix Charrupi 1794 −3 - 64'Jan Lucumi 1750 +1 for Josen Escobar 1818 +1
America de Cali:Jan Lucumi 1750 +1 for Josen Escobar 1818 +1 - 65'Jhon Palacios 1767 +1 for Jhon Murillo 1728 −1
America de Cali:Jhon Palacios 1767 +1 for Jhon Murillo 1728 −1 - 71'Yani Quintero 1609 +10
America de Cali:Yani Quintero 1609 +10 - Victor Cantillo 1564 −12* for Leonardo Flores 1674 −372'
Bucaramanga:Victor Cantillo 1564 −12* for Leonardo Flores 1674 −3 - Omar Albornoz 1571 −3 for Fabián Sambueza 1663 −1273'
Bucaramanga:Omar Albornoz 1571 −3 for Fabián Sambueza 1663 −12 - 74'Brayan Cordoba 1590 −7* for Nicolás Hernández 1783 −4*
America de Cali:Brayan Cordoba 1590 −7* for Nicolás Hernández 1783 −4* - Aldair Gutiérrez 1694 −1 for Fredy Hinestroza 1564 −978'
Bucaramanga:Aldair Gutiérrez 1694 −1 for Fredy Hinestroza 1564 −9 - Brandon·Caicedo 1322 0 for Luciano Pons 1748 −1086'
Bucaramanga:Brandon·Caicedo 1322 0 for Luciano Pons 1748 −10 - Aldair Enrique Zarate Palma 1623 −8* for Emerson Batalla 1842 −286'
Bucaramanga:Aldair Enrique Zarate Palma 1623 −8* for Emerson Batalla 1842 −2 - 87'Jhon Palacios 1767 +1
America de Cali:Jhon Palacios 1767 +1
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 42% · 30% · 28%(Bucaramanga · draw · America de Cali)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Bucaramanga €507K, America de Cali €599K.
- Home advantage made Bucaramanga the favourite: it added 12 points to their win chance.
- Primera A: C. Fiermarín was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1861).
- All 11 of Bucaramanga's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
- Bucaramanga were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bucaramanga
13th in Primera A · 23 pts from 19
- 13 OctDÁguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A1764
- 4 OctWJunior Colombia Primera A1745
- 26 SepWOnce Caldas Colombia Primera A1710
- 20 SepWInternacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A1696
- 18 SepDIndependiente Medellin Colombia Primera A1709
America de Cali
4th in Primera A · 33 pts from 19
- 12 OctLIndependiente Medellin Colombia Primera A1789
- 5 OctWLlaneros Colombia Primera A1769
- 24 SepWÁguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A1770
- 20 SepDDeportes Tolima Colombia Primera A1739
- 15 SepLDeportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A1747
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucaramanga | 23 /19 | 35.0 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 10th |
| America de Cali | 33 /19 | 43.2 | 1% | 77% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Bucaramanga · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1844

America de Cali · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1766
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bucaramanga: balanced profile (how Pablo Peirano Pardeiro plays) · America de Cali: balanced profile (how David González Giraldo plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.