Primera A · Clausura - 7
Bucaramanga 1–1 Águilas Doradas
Tue 13 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Estadio Américo Montanini, Bucaramanga
BucaramangaTeam 1722
Águilas DoradasTeam 1591Match story
Bucaramanga · draw · Águilas DoradasBefore kick-off: 58% · 24% · 18%
Last reading, 90+10': 0% · 100% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Edwin Castro 35'
- Jorge Soto 90+10' (pen)
We gave Bucaramanga 58% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Edwin Castro 1717 −835'
Bucaramanga:Edwin Castro 1717 −8 - Aldair Gutiérrez 1695 −145+2'
Bucaramanga:Aldair Gutiérrez 1695 −1 - 59'Junior Noguera 1383 −2* for Matías Ramírez 1669 +5
Águilas Doradas:Junior Noguera 1383 −2* for Matías Ramírez 1669 +5 - Fabián Sambueza 1675 −1264'
Bucaramanga:Fabián Sambueza 1675 −12 - Fredy Salazar 1626 −11* for Fabián Sambueza 1675 −1269'
Bucaramanga:Fredy Salazar 1626 −11* for Fabián Sambueza 1675 −12 - 71'Matías Ramírez 1669 +5
Águilas Doradas:Matías Ramírez 1669 +5 - 74'Andres Mosquera 1557 +2
Águilas Doradas:Andres Mosquera 1557 +2 - 74'Ricardo Marquez 1461 +1 for Juan Esteban·Avalo Trejos 1529 +10
Águilas Doradas:Ricardo Marquez 1461 +1 for Juan Esteban·Avalo Trejos 1529 +10 - 86'Tomás Blandón 1332 −7* for Frank Lozano 1669 +3
Águilas Doradas:Tomás Blandón 1332 −7* for Frank Lozano 1669 +3 - 86'Eduar Arízalas for Andres Ricaurte 1574 +3
Águilas Doradas:Eduar Arízalas for Andres Ricaurte 1574 +3 - Leonardo Flores 1677 −3 for Emerson Batalla 1844 −486'
Bucaramanga:Leonardo Flores 1677 −3 for Emerson Batalla 1844 −4 - Brandon·Caicedo 1322 0 for Luciano Pons 1758 −1086'
Bucaramanga:Brandon·Caicedo 1322 0 for Luciano Pons 1758 −10 - Martín Rea 1595 −9* for Aldair Gutiérrez 1695 −190'
Bucaramanga:Martín Rea 1595 −9* for Aldair Gutiérrez 1695 −1 - Edwin Castro 1717 −890+2'
Bucaramanga:Edwin Castro 1717 −8 - 90+7'Jorge Soto 1709 +16
Águilas Doradas:Jorge Soto 1709 +16 - Cristopher Fiermarin 1861 −12*90+8'
Bucaramanga:Cristopher Fiermarin 1861 −12* - 90+10'Jorge Soto 1709 +16 (pen.)
Águilas Doradas:Jorge Soto 1709 +16 (pen.)
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 58% · 24% · 18%(Bucaramanga · draw · Águilas Doradas)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Bucaramanga €503K, Águilas Doradas €309K.
- Primera A: C. Fiermarín was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1873).
- Bucaramanga were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bucaramanga
13th in Primera A · 23 pts from 19
- 4 OctWJunior Colombia Primera A1745
- 26 SepWOnce Caldas Colombia Primera A1710
- 20 SepWInternacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A1696
- 18 SepDIndependiente Medellin Colombia Primera A1709
- 13 SepWDeportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A1682
Águilas Doradas
12th in Primera A · 26 pts from 19
- 9 OctDAlianza Valledupar Colombia Primera A1618
- 3 OctWJaguares Colombia Primera A1611
- 28 SepLDeportivo Cali Colombia Primera A1590
- 24 SepLAmerica de Cali Colombia Primera A1601
- 18 SepDDeportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A1606
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucaramanga | 23 /19 | 37.0 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 8th |
| Águilas Doradas | 26 /19 | 34.6 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Bucaramanga · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1688

Águilas Doradas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1694
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bucaramanga: balanced profile (how Pablo Peirano Pardeiro plays) · Águilas Doradas: balanced profile (how Flavio Horacio Robatto plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.