Super League · Regular Season - 14
BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Stadion Wankdorf, Bern
BSC Young Boys host FC Thun on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: BSC Young Boys 60%, draw 23%, FC Thun 17%.
- Average value of the expected XI: BSC Young Boys €2.3M, FC Thun €992K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Super League): BSC Young Boys rank #3 of 13, FC Thun #10.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. BSC Young Boys goals first.
- 1–19%
- 2–18%
- 2–28%
- 3–17%
- 2–06%
- 3–05%
- Other scores57%
Team Elo: BSC Young Boys 1911 · FC Thun 1695
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
BSC Young Boys · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 1980
FC Thun · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1838
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
BSC Young Boys
2nd in Super League · 28 pts from 13
- 7 NovWFC Luzern Swiss Super League1916
- 1 NovLFC Zurich Swiss Super League1908
- 24 OctWFC ST. Gallen Swiss Super League1902
- 11 OctWGrasshoppers Swiss Super League1915
- 19 SepWServette FC Swiss Super League1870
FC Thun
8th in Super League · 14 pts from 13
- 8 NovDFC Basel 1893 Swiss Super League1715
- 5 NovWHeart Of Midlothian UEFA Conference League1735
- 1 NovWLausanne Swiss Super League1684
- 25 OctLFC Lugano Swiss Super League1657
- 22 OctLHNK Hajduk Split UEFA Conference League1735
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSC Young Boys | 28 /13 | 43.0 | 6% | 99% | 0% | 2nd |
| FC Thun | 14 /13 | 25.1 | 0% | 1% | 17% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
BSC Young Boys: balanced profile (how G. Seoane plays) · FC Thun: balanced profile (how Luca Privitelli Gian plays)