Superliga · Regular Season - 10
Brondby 5–2 Lyngby
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Brøndby Stadion, Copenhagen
BrondbyTeam 1754LyngbyTeam 1562Match story
Brondby · draw · LyngbyBefore kick-off: 57% · 24% · 19%
Last reading, 90+4': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Jacob Brøchner Ambæk 23', 38'
- Olti Hyseni 31'
- Max Isaac Ejdum 51'
- Oskar Fenger 76'
We gave Brondby 57% to win: they did.
- Jacob Brøchner Ambæk 1749 +24* assist Olti Hyseni 1716 +34*23'Brondby:Jacob Brøchner Ambæk 1749 +24* assist Olti Hyseni 1716 +34*
- Olti Hyseni 1716 +34* assist Marcus Younis 1691 +2*31'Brondby:Olti Hyseni 1716 +34* assist Marcus Younis 1691 +2*
- 32'David Helgi Aronsson 1269 −8*Lyngby:David Helgi Aronsson 1269 −8*
- Jacob Brøchner Ambæk 1749 +24*38'Brondby:Jacob Brøchner Ambæk 1749 +24*
- Marcus Younis 1691 +2*40'Brondby:Marcus Younis 1691 +2*
- Sho Fukuda 1748 +1* for Marcus Younis 1691 +2*45'Brondby:Sho Fukuda 1748 +1* for Marcus Younis 1691 +2*
- 45'Daniel Kristjansson 1558 −8* for Isak Thorvaldsson 1699 −9*Lyngby:Daniel Kristjansson 1558 −8* for Isak Thorvaldsson 1699 −9*
- 45'Mikkel Fischer 1528 −8* for Oliver Højer 1628 −8*Lyngby:Mikkel Fischer 1528 −8* for Oliver Højer 1628 −8*
- Max Isaac Ejdum 1762 +23* assist Marko Divković 1781 +7*51'Brondby:Max Isaac Ejdum 1762 +23* assist Marko Divković 1781 +7*
- 55'Mikkel Fischer 1528 −8*Lyngby:Mikkel Fischer 1528 −8*
- Oskar Fenger 1581 +15* for Jacob Brøchner Ambæk 1749 +24*62'Brondby:Oskar Fenger 1581 +15* for Jacob Brøchner Ambæk 1749 +24*
- Casper Winther 1566 +1* for Max Isaac Ejdum 1762 +23*62'Brondby:Casper Winther 1566 +1* for Max Isaac Ejdum 1762 +23*
- 63'Mathias Hebo Rasmussen 1434 −11* for Renzo Tytens 1583 −8*Lyngby:Mathias Hebo Rasmussen 1434 −11* for Renzo Tytens 1583 −8*
- 66'Jens Thomasen 1512 −10* assist Oskar Buur 1670 −10*Lyngby:Jens Thomasen 1512 −10* assist Oskar Buur 1670 −10*
- Daniel Wass 1508 −12* for Olti Hyseni 1716 +34*71'Brondby:Daniel Wass 1508 −12* for Olti Hyseni 1716 +34*
- Oskar Fenger 1581 +15* assist Sho Fukuda 1748 +1*76'Brondby:Oskar Fenger 1581 +15* assist Sho Fukuda 1748 +1*
- Christopher Olivier 1602 −4* for Oliver Marc Rose-Villadsen 1801 +4*77'Brondby:Christopher Olivier 1602 −4* for Oliver Marc Rose-Villadsen 1801 +4*
- 79'Sanders Ngabo 1450 −8* for Jens Thomasen 1512 −10*Lyngby:Sanders Ngabo 1450 −8* for Jens Thomasen 1512 −10*
- 79'Markus Adeniyi Anderson Adedeji 1568 −8* for Frederik Gytkjær 1394 −12*Lyngby:Markus Adeniyi Anderson Adedeji 1568 −8* for Frederik Gytkjær 1394 −12*
- Sho Fukuda 1748 +1*80'Brondby:Sho Fukuda 1748 +1*
- 83'Markus Adeniyi Anderson Adedeji 1568 −8*Lyngby:Markus Adeniyi Anderson Adedeji 1568 −8*
- 89'Munashe Garananga 1796 −21*Lyngby:Munashe Garananga 1796 −21*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 57% · 24% · 19%(Brondby · draw · Lyngby)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 5–2 had 1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Brondby €2.0M, Lyngby €596K.
- Lyngby were without 1 expected starter: S. Colyn (1670).
- Style contrast in chance creation (Superliga): Brondby ranked #1 of 11, Lyngby #11.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Brondby
5th in Superliga · 13 pts from 9
- 20 SepLFC Copenhagen Denmark Superliga1749
- 14 SepLFC Midtjylland Denmark Superliga1780
- 6 SepLRanders FC Denmark Superliga1771
- 30 AugLFC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superliga1822
- 24 AugWSilkeborg Denmark Superliga1789
Lyngby
10th in Superliga · 7 pts from 9
- 18 SepLSilkeborg Denmark Superliga1642
- 13 SepDSonderjyske Denmark Superliga1648
- 4 SepWViborg Denmark Superliga1587
- 30 AugDOdense Denmark Superliga1606
- 23 AugLAC Horsens Denmark Superliga1586
Season outlook
From the Superliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brondby | 13 /9 | 31.8 | <1% | 34% | 3% | 5th |
| Lyngby | 7 /9 | 20.8 | 0% | 1% | 68% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Brondby · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1776
Lyngby · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1572
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Brondby: possession-based (how Thomas Nørgaard plays) · Lyngby: low-volume · direct (how Dan Brimsvík plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.