Superliga · Regular Season - 15
Brondby vs FC Midtjylland
Mon 23 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Brondby host FC Midtjylland on Mon 23 Nov 2026 (Superliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Brondby 27%, draw 28%, FC Midtjylland 44%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Brondby €2.0M, FC Midtjylland €3.4M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Superliga matchday 15: 179 points.
- Style contrast in possession (Superliga): Brondby rank #3 of 12, FC Midtjylland #12.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Brondby goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–29%
- 0–18%
- 0–27%
- 2–27%
- 2–17%
- Other scores49%
Team Elo: Brondby 1783 · FC Midtjylland 1962
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Brondby · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.4 (Good) · Elo 1802
FC Midtjylland · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 2077
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Brondby
5th in Superliga · 22 pts from 14
- 8 NovLFC Copenhagen Denmark Superliga1801
- 1 NovWAarhus Denmark Superliga1775
- 23 OctWRanders FC Denmark Superliga1743
- 18 OctLOdense Denmark Superliga1752
- 11 OctWLyngby Denmark Superliga1761
FC Midtjylland
2nd in Superliga · 32 pts from 14
- 8 NovDSonderjyske Denmark Superliga1926
- 5 NovLAjax UEFA Conference League1998
- 1 NovWFC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superliga1949
- 25 OctWLyngby Denmark Superliga1956
- 22 OctLSt. Truiden UEFA Conference League1934
Season outlook
From the Superliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brondby | 22 /14 | 34.2 | 0% | 45% | <1% | 5th |
| FC Midtjylland | 32 /14 | 47.3 | 48% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Brondby: possession-based (how Thomas Nørgaard plays) · FC Midtjylland: dribble-heavy · direct (how Mike Tullberg plays)